Home / MLB Projections MLB / Giants @ Rockies SF @ COL

SAN FRANCISCO

GIANTSSF

40-28  |  Road

7
FINAL
Thu, Jun 12 • 3:10 PM ET
Coors Field
View Odds Details →

COLORADO

ROCKIESCOL

12-55  |  Home

8
Probable Pitchers
Willy Adames
STARTING PITCHER

Willy Adames

#2 | Shortstop
@
Juan Mejia
STARTING PITCHER

Juan Mejia

#47 | Relief Pitcher
Player W-L ERA WHIP IP K
Willy Adames None-None -- -- -- --
Juan Mejia None-None 3.72 -- 1.2 3
None-None W-L None-None
-- ERA 3.72
-- WHIP --
-- IP (Innings Pitched) 1.2
-- K (Strikeouts) 3
AI Model Win Probability
GIANTS
0%
📊
ROCKIES
100%
GIANTS --
ROCKIES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.8
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.5
SAN FRANCISCO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.5 points (San Francisco)
GiantsSF (-3.5) 0 RockiesCOL (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Giants Cover

64.9%

Rockies Cover

35.1%

-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around SF -1.5 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SF)

SF By 1-2 runs

19.7%

SF By 3-4 runs

17.5%

COL By 1-2 runs

14.9%

COL By 3-4 runs

9.1%

AI Model Projected Score
3.66
SAN FRANCISCO
2.13
COLORADO
Simulated Score
3
SAN FRANCISCO
6
COLORADO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Giants Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Rockies Win
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI Giants (-0) Loss
Proj Runs: -1.5
D
Sim Rockies (+0) Win
Proj Runs: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 5.8
D
Sim u0.0
Proj Total: 9.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Aug 16, 2026 COL @ SF 13 - 7
Aug 15, 2026 COL @ SF 1 - 7
Aug 14, 2026 COL @ SF 5 - 2
Jul 12, 2026 COL @ SF 1 - 3
Jul 11, 2026 COL @ SF 2 - 4
Season Statistics Comparison
San Francisco SF
vs
Colorado COL
162
Games Played
162
4.13
Runs / Game
▲ 4.64
.245
Avg (AVG)
▲ .254
.306
On-Base (OBP)
▲ .322
.400
Slugging (SLG)
▲ .417
.706
OPS
▲ .739
178
Home Runs
▲ 180
Key Model Drivers
Errors (L5) +22.0% more
San Francisco: 0.7 vs Colorado: 0.5
Walks (L5) +30.8% more
Colorado: 5.0 vs San Francisco: 3.8
Total Bases (L5) +21.5% more
Colorado: 17.7 vs San Francisco: 14.6
Hits (L5) +17.2% more
Colorado: 10.1 vs San Francisco: 8.6
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
SF Score 3.7 7
COL Score 2.1 8
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors 0.5 / 0.7 0.0 / 1.0
Hits 10.1 / 8.6 10.0 / 11.0
Home Runs 1.1 / 1.0 1.0 / 1.0
Strikeouts 8.0 / 8.3 9.0 / 8.0
Total Bases 17.7 / 14.6 15.0 / 15.0
Walks 5.0 / 3.8 7.0 / 6.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
91%TICKETS9%
93%MONEY7%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
90%TICKETS10%
96%MONEY4%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
39%TICKETS61%
53%MONEY47%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SF Advantage
65-97-0 (40.1%)
Margin: -0.6 ATS +/-:
COL
58-104-0 (35.8%)
Margin: -1.2 ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SF
(51.2%)
Margin: -0.6 ATS +/-:
COL
(51.2%)
Margin: -1.2 ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
SF
76-73-13
O: 51.0% / U: 49.0% Total +/-: +0.6
COL
77-80-5
O: 49.0% / U: 51.0% Total +/-: +0.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
COL
SF
COL
SF
ML
60% 97-64
49% 79-81
55% 88-73
53% 85-75
ATS
60% 97-64
62% 100-60
52% 83-78
52% 83-77
TTL
60% 93-62-6
55% 82-68-10
50% 77-78-6
46% 68-81-11
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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