NEW YORK
YANKEESNYY
41-25 | Road
1
KANSAS CITY
ROYALSKC
34-34 | Home
0
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
John Schreiber
#56 | Relief Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Lucas Erceg
#60 | Relief Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Schreiber | None-None | 3.38 | -- | 1.0 | 2 |
| Lucas Erceg | None-None | 1.88 | -- | 1.0 | 1 |
None-None
W-L
None-None
3.38
ERA
Ldr 1.88
--
WHIP
--
1.0
IP (Innings Pitched)
1.0
2 Ldr
K (Strikeouts)
1
AI Model Win Probability
YANKEES
0%
ROYALS
100%
YANKEES
--
ROYALS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
7.5
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.4
NEW YORK
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.4 points (New York)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around NYY -2.4 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NYY)
NYY By 1-2 runs
19.3%
NYY By 3-4 runs
19.0%
KC By 1-2 runs
12.4%
KC By 3-4 runs
6.8%
AI Model Projected Score
New York
4.95
NEW YORK
Kansas City
2.56
KANSAS CITY
Simulated Score
New York
5
NEW YORK
Kansas City
3
KANSAS CITY
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Yankees
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Yankees
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Yankees (-0)
Win
Proj Runs: -2.4
D
Sim
Yankees (-0)
Win
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 7.5
D
Sim
u0.0
Proj Total: 8.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
May 27, 2026
NYY @ KC
7 - 0
May 26, 2026
NYY @ KC
15 - 1
May 25, 2026
NYY @ KC
4 - 3
Apr 19, 2026
KC @ NYY
0 - 7
Apr 18, 2026
KC @ NYY
4 - 13
Season Statistics Comparison
New York
NYY
vs
Kansas City
KC
1
Games Played
▲
162
9.00
▲
Runs / Game
4.26
.375
▲
Avg (AVG)
.247
.447
▲
On-Base (OBP)
.316
.594
▲
Slugging (SLG)
.402
1.041
▲
OPS
.718
2
Home Runs
▲
170
Key Model Drivers
Runs per Game (Season)
+52.7% more
New York: 9.0
vs
Kansas City: 4.3
Errors (L5)
+35.0% more
New York: 0.8
vs
Kansas City: 0.5
OPS (Season)
+32.3%
New York: 1.0%
vs
Kansas City: 71.8%
Home Runs (L5)
+27.7% more
New York: 1.7
vs
Kansas City: 1.2
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
NYY Score
5.0
1
KC Score
2.6
0
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.5 / 0.8
1.0 / 0.0
Hits
9.7 / 10.3
5.0 / 5.0
Home Runs
1.2 / 1.7
0.0 / 0.0
Strikeouts
8.2 / 8.3
7.0 / 5.0
Total Bases
14.3 / 18.1
7.0 / 6.0
Walks
4.1 / 3.2
4.0 / 2.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
NYY
Advantage
95-71-0
(57.2%)
Margin: 0.9
ATS +/-:
KC
69-93-0
(42.6%)
Margin: -0.7
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
NYY
Advantage
(51.2%)
Margin: 0.9
ATS +/-:
KC
(47.5%)
Margin: -0.7
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
NYY
79-81-6
O: 49.4% / U: 50.6%
Total +/-: +0.2
KC
73-85-4
O: 46.2% / U: 53.8%
Total +/-: +0.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
KC
NYY
KC
NYY
ML
55%
89-72
47%
76-85
56%
90-70
52%
85-77
ATS
57%
91-70
59%
95-66
58%
93-67
53%
86-76
TTL
58%
90-64-7
53%
81-73-7
54%
83-70-7
53%
82-72-7
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