ATLANTA
BRAVESATL
28-38 | Road
6
MILWAUKEE
BREWERSMIL
36-32 | Home
2
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Michael Harris II
#23 | Center Field@
STARTING PITCHER
Chad Patrick
#39 | Relief Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Harris II | None-None | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| Chad Patrick | None-None | 3.25 | -- | 5.0 | 8 |
None-None
W-L
None-None
--
ERA
3.25
--
WHIP
--
--
IP (Innings Pitched)
5.0
--
K (Strikeouts)
8
AI Model Win Probability
BRAVES
100%
BREWERS
0%
BRAVES
--
BREWERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
8.9
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.1
MILWAUKEE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.1 points (Milwaukee)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around MIL -1.1 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MIL)
ATL By 1-2 runs
15.9%
ATL By 3-4 runs
10.2%
MIL By 1-2 runs
19.7%
MIL By 3-4 runs
16.6%
AI Model Projected Score
Atlanta
3.9
ATLANTA
Milwaukee
5.04
MILWAUKEE
Simulated Score
Atlanta
4
ATLANTA
Milwaukee
5
MILWAUKEE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Brewers
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Brewers
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Brewers (+0)
Loss
Proj Runs: -1.1
D
Sim
Brewers (+0)
Loss
Proj Runs: -1.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 8.9
D
Sim
u0.0
Proj Total: 9.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Aug 23, 2026
ATL @ MIL
4 - 2
Aug 22, 2026
ATL @ MIL
1 - 4
Aug 21, 2026
ATL @ MIL
1 - 2
Jun 21, 2026
MIL @ ATL
9 - 4
Jun 20, 2026
MIL @ ATL
3 - 4
Season Statistics Comparison
Atlanta
ATL
vs
Milwaukee
MIL
1
Games Played
▲
162
5.00
Runs / Game
▲
5.14
.233
Avg (AVG)
▲
.258
.324
On-Base (OBP)
▲
.341
.433
▲
Slugging (SLG)
.403
.757
▲
OPS
.743
1
Home Runs
▲
154
Key Model Drivers
Home Runs (Season)
+15300.0% more
Milwaukee: 154.0
vs
Atlanta: 1.0
Runs per Game (Season)
+2.8% more
Milwaukee: 5.1
vs
Atlanta: 5.0
Batting Avg (Season)
+2.5%
Milwaukee: 25.8%
vs
Atlanta: 23.3%
On-Base Pct (Season)
+1.7%
Milwaukee: 34.1%
vs
Atlanta: 32.4%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
ATL Score
3.9
6
MIL Score
5.0
2
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.0 / 0.3
1.0 / 0.0
Hits
6.1 / 8.2
5.0 / 10.0
Home Runs
1.0 / 1.0
1.0 / 2.0
Strikeouts
8.7 / 11.2
12.0 / 9.0
Total Bases
9.8 / 13.1
11.0 / 16.0
Walks
2.7 / 3.4
4.0 / 0.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
ATL
97-72-0
(57.4%)
Margin: 0.7
ATS +/-:
MIL
Advantage
106-60-0
(63.9%)
Margin: 1.3
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
ATL
(52.1%)
Margin: 0.7
ATS +/-:
MIL
Advantage
(52.4%)
Margin: 1.3
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
ATL
76-83-10
O: 47.8% / U: 52.2%
Total +/-: 0.0
MIL
73-88-5
O: 45.3% / U: 54.7%
Total +/-: +0.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MIL
ATL
MIL
ATL
ML
62%
101-61
46%
77-90
52%
84-78
54%
90-78
ATS
58%
94-68
57%
96-71
48%
78-84
52%
87-81
TTL
40%
62-92-8
53%
83-73-11
50%
77-77-8
49%
76-80-11
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