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ATHLETICS

ATHLETICSATH

26-43  |  Road

5
FINAL
Wed, Jun 11 • 4:07 PM ET
Angel Stadium
View Odds Details →

LOS ANGELES

ANGELSLAA

32-34  |  Home

6
Probable Pitchers
Tyler Soderstrom
STARTING PITCHER

Tyler Soderstrom

#21 | Left Field
@
Reid Detmers
STARTING PITCHER

Reid Detmers

#48 | Starting Pitcher
Player W-L ERA WHIP IP K
Tyler Soderstrom None-None -- -- -- --
Reid Detmers None-None 5.22 -- 1.0 2
None-None W-L None-None
-- ERA 5.22
-- WHIP --
-- IP (Innings Pitched) 1.0
-- K (Strikeouts) 2
AI Model Win Probability
ATHLETICS
100%
📊
ANGELS
0%
ATHLETICS --
ANGELS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
8.5
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.2
LOS ANGELES
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.2 points (Los Angeles)
AthleticsATH (-3.5) 0 AngelsLAA (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Athletics Cover

28.9%

Angels Cover

71.1%

+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around LAA -2.2 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LAA)

ATH By 1-2 runs

12.9%

ATH By 3-4 runs

7.2%

LAA By 1-2 runs

19.4%

LAA By 3-4 runs

18.8%

AI Model Projected Score
3.11
ATHLETICS
5.34
LOS ANGELES
Simulated Score
3
ATHLETICS
5
LOS ANGELES
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Angels Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Angels Win
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Angels (+0) Win
Proj Runs: -2.2
D
Sim Angels (+0) Win
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 8.5
D
Sim u0.0
Proj Total: 8.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Sep 23, 2026 LAA @ ATH 3 - 7
Sep 22, 2026 LAA @ ATH 7 - 9
Jun 28, 2026 ATH @ LAA 1 - 4
Jun 27, 2026 ATH @ LAA 2 - 5
Jun 26, 2026 ATH @ LAA 9 - 3
Season Statistics Comparison
Athletics ATH
vs
Los Angeles LAA
162
Games Played
162
4.31 ▲
Runs / Game
4.04
.245 ▲
Avg (AVG)
.234
.317 ▲
On-Base (OBP)
.310
.402 ▲
Slugging (SLG)
.369
.719 ▲
OPS
.679
194 ▲
Home Runs
154
Key Model Drivers
Home Runs (L5) +42.0% more
Los Angeles: 1.2 vs Athletics: 0.8
Strikeouts (L5) +23.2% more
Los Angeles: 9.6 vs Athletics: 7.8
Errors (L5) +60.0% more
Athletics: 0.9 vs Los Angeles: 0.3
Home Runs (Season) +20.6% more
Athletics: 194.0 vs Los Angeles: 154.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
ATH Score 3.1 5
LAA Score 5.3 6
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors 0.3 / 0.9 1.0 / 0.0
Hits 7.2 / 6.7 9.0 / 10.0
Home Runs 1.2 / 0.8 1.0 / 2.0
Strikeouts 9.6 / 7.8 7.0 / 12.0
Total Bases 12.0 / 11.1 12.0 / 20.0
Walks 2.4 / 2.9 3.0 / 2.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
32%TICKETS68%
46%MONEY54%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
62%TICKETS38%
4%MONEY96%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
56%TICKETS44%
35%MONEY65%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
ATH Advantage
64-98-0 (39.5%)
Margin: -1.5 ATS +/-:
LAA
62-100-0 (38.3%)
Margin: -0.6 ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
ATH
(47.5%)
Margin: -1.5 ATS +/-:
LAA Advantage
(50.6%)
Margin: -0.6 ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
ATH
84-73-5
O: 53.5% / U: 46.5% Total +/-: +0.8
LAA
71-88-3
O: 44.7% / U: 55.4% Total +/-: +0.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LAA
ATH
LAA
ATH
ML
59% 96-66
59% 95-67
55% 89-73
54% 87-74
ATS
60% 97-65
52% 84-78
51% 82-80
50% 81-80
TTL
53% 83-74-5
54% 84-73-5
52% 82-75-5
42% 66-90-5
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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