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TEXAS

RANGERSTEX

32-35  |  Road

2
FINAL
Wed, Jun 11 • 7:40 PM ET
Target Field
View Odds Details →

MINNESOTA

TWINSMIN

35-31  |  Home

6
Probable Pitchers
Jacob Latz
STARTING PITCHER

Jacob Latz

#67 | Relief Pitcher
@
Brooks Lee
STARTING PITCHER

Brooks Lee

#22 | Third Base
Player W-L ERA WHIP IP K
Jacob Latz None-None 3.97 -- 1.0 --
Brooks Lee None-None -- -- -- --
None-None W-L None-None
3.97 ERA --
-- WHIP --
1.0 IP (Innings Pitched) --
-- K (Strikeouts) --
AI Model Win Probability
RANGERS
0%
📊
TWINS
100%
RANGERS --
TWINS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
8.3
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.6
TEXAS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.6 points (Texas)
RangersTEX (-3.5) 0 TwinsMIN (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Rangers Cover

65.8%

Twins Cover

34.2%

-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around TEX -1.6 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (TEX)

TEX By 1-2 runs

19.7%

TEX By 3-4 runs

17.7%

MIN By 1-2 runs

14.6%

MIN By 3-4 runs

8.8%

AI Model Projected Score
4.96
TEXAS
3.33
MINNESOTA
Simulated Score
4
TEXAS
5
MINNESOTA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Rangers Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Twins Win
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI Rangers (-0) Loss
Proj Runs: -1.6
D
Sim Twins (+0) Win
Proj Runs: -1.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 8.3
D
Sim u0.0
Proj Total: 9.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Sep 27, 2026 TEX @ MIN 4 - 6
Sep 26, 2026 TEX @ MIN 6 - 2
Sep 25, 2026 TEX @ MIN 2 - 10
Jun 18, 2026 MIN @ TEX 9 - 3
Jun 16, 2026 MIN @ TEX 12 - 2
Season Statistics Comparison
Texas TEX
vs
Minnesota MIN
162
Games Played
162
4.15
Runs / Game
▲ 4.56
.242
Avg (AVG)
▲ .245
.317
On-Base (OBP)
.317
.396
Slugging (SLG)
▲ .403
.713
OPS
▲ .720
183
Home Runs
▲ 187
Key Model Drivers
Strikeouts (L5) +10.9% more
Texas: 7.2 vs Minnesota: 6.4
Hits (L5) +10.8% more
Texas: 11.3 vs Minnesota: 10.0
Total Bases (L5) +8.8% more
Texas: 17.8 vs Minnesota: 16.2
Errors (L5) +86.0% more
Minnesota: 1.0 vs Texas: 0.2
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
TEX Score 5.0 2
MIN Score 3.3 6
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors 1.0 / 0.2 0.0 / 0.0
Hits 10.0 / 11.3 10.0 / 7.0
Home Runs 1.5 / 1.4 1.0 / 1.0
Strikeouts 6.4 / 7.2 7.0 / 5.0
Total Bases 16.2 / 17.8 18.0 / 13.0
Walks 3.3 / 1.8 2.0 / 4.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
45%TICKETS55%
48%MONEY52%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
73%TICKETS27%
50%MONEY50%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
49%TICKETS51%
43%MONEY57%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
TEX Advantage
80-82-0 (49.4%)
Margin: -0.3 ATS +/-:
MIN
77-85-0 (47.5%)
Margin: -0.4 ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
TEX
(48.2%)
Margin: -0.3 ATS +/-:
MIN Advantage
(51.8%)
Margin: -0.4 ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
TEX
84-69-9
O: 54.9% / U: 45.1% Total +/-: +0.6
MIN
88-64-10
O: 57.9% / U: 42.1% Total +/-: +1.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MIN
TEX
MIN
TEX
ML
52% 84-78
53% 86-76
50% 80-81
57% 91-70
ATS
59% 95-67
57% 92-70
59% 95-66
61% 98-63
TTL
51% 78-75-9
53% 78-70-14
53% 80-72-9
55% 81-66-14
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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