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NEW YORK

YANKEESNYY

40-25  |  Road

6
FINAL
Wed, Jun 11 • 7:40 PM ET
Kauffman Stadium
View Odds Details →

KANSAS CITY

ROYALSKC

34-33  |  Home

3
Probable Pitchers
Fernando Cruz
STARTING PITCHER

Fernando Cruz

#63 | RP
@
Daniel Lynch IV
STARTING PITCHER

Daniel Lynch IV

#41 | Relief Pitcher
Player W-L ERA WHIP IP K
Fernando Cruz None-None 3.38 -- 0.2 --
Daniel Lynch IV None-None 1.97 -- 1.0 1
None-None W-L None-None
3.38 ERA Ldr 1.97
-- WHIP --
0.2 IP (Innings Pitched) Ldr 1.0
-- K (Strikeouts) Ldr 1
AI Model Win Probability
YANKEES
0%
📊
ROYALS
100%
YANKEES --
ROYALS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
7.4
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.5
NEW YORK
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.5 points (New York)
YankeesNYY (-3.5) 0 RoyalsKC (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Yankees Cover

73.2%

Royals Cover

26.8%

-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around NYY -2.5 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NYY)

NYY By 1-2 runs

19.2%

NYY By 3-4 runs

19.1%

KC By 1-2 runs

12.2%

KC By 3-4 runs

6.6%

AI Model Projected Score
4.93
NEW YORK
2.45
KANSAS CITY
Simulated Score
4
NEW YORK
3
KANSAS CITY
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Yankees Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Yankees Win
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Yankees (-0) Win
Proj Runs: -2.5
D
Sim Yankees (-0) Win
Proj Runs: -1.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 7.4
D
Sim u0.0
Proj Total: 7.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
May 27, 2026 NYY @ KC 7 - 0
May 26, 2026 NYY @ KC 15 - 1
May 25, 2026 NYY @ KC 4 - 3
Apr 19, 2026 KC @ NYY 0 - 7
Apr 18, 2026 KC @ NYY 4 - 13
Season Statistics Comparison
New York NYY
vs
Kansas City KC
1
Games Played
▲ 162
9.00 ▲
Runs / Game
4.26
.375 ▲
Avg (AVG)
.247
.447 ▲
On-Base (OBP)
.316
.594 ▲
Slugging (SLG)
.402
1.041 ▲
OPS
.718
2
Home Runs
▲ 170
Key Model Drivers
Runs per Game (Season) +52.7% more
New York: 9.0 vs Kansas City: 4.3
Home Runs (L5) +34.7% more
New York: 2.0 vs Kansas City: 1.3
OPS (Season) +32.3%
New York: 1.0% vs Kansas City: 71.8%
Total Bases (L5) +21.2% more
New York: 19.6 vs Kansas City: 15.5
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
NYY Score 4.9 6
KC Score 2.5 3
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors 0.7 / 0.7 0.0 / 1.0
Hits 10.5 / 11.5 8.0 / 8.0
Home Runs 1.3 / 2.0 1.0 / 1.0
Strikeouts 8.7 / 8.0 7.0 / 9.0
Total Bases 15.5 / 19.6 12.0 / 15.0
Walks 3.6 / 3.3 5.0 / 3.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
79%TICKETS21%
72%MONEY28%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
59%TICKETS41%
94%MONEY6%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
60%TICKETS40%
57%MONEY43%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
NYY Advantage
95-71-0 (57.2%)
Margin: 0.9 ATS +/-:
KC
69-93-0 (42.6%)
Margin: -0.7 ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
NYY Advantage
(51.2%)
Margin: 0.9 ATS +/-:
KC
(47.5%)
Margin: -0.7 ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
NYY
79-81-6
O: 49.4% / U: 50.6% Total +/-: +0.2
KC
73-85-4
O: 46.2% / U: 53.8% Total +/-: +0.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
KC
NYY
KC
NYY
ML
55% 89-72
47% 76-85
56% 90-70
52% 85-77
ATS
57% 91-70
59% 95-66
58% 93-67
53% 86-76
TTL
58% 90-64-7
53% 81-73-7
54% 83-70-7
53% 82-72-7
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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