Home / MLB Projections MLB / Giants @ Rockies SF @ COL

SAN FRANCISCO

GIANTSSF

39-28  |  Road

10
FINAL
Wed, Jun 11 • 8:40 PM ET
Coors Field
View Odds Details →

COLORADO

ROCKIESCOL

12-54  |  Home

7
Probable Pitchers
Camilo Doval
STARTING PITCHER

Camilo Doval

#57 | Relief Pitcher
@
Zach Agnos
STARTING PITCHER

Zach Agnos

#36 | Relief Pitcher
Player W-L ERA WHIP IP K
Camilo Doval None-None 1.69 -- 1.0 --
Zach Agnos None-None 5.48 -- 1.0 1
None-None W-L None-None
1.69 Ldr ERA 5.48
-- WHIP --
1.0 IP (Innings Pitched) 1.0
-- K (Strikeouts) Ldr 1
AI Model Win Probability
GIANTS
0%
📊
ROCKIES
100%
GIANTS --
ROCKIES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.3
SAN FRANCISCO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.3 points (San Francisco)
GiantsSF (-3.5) 0 RockiesCOL (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Giants Cover

62.6%

Rockies Cover

37.4%

-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around SF -1.3 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SF)

SF By 1-2 runs

19.7%

SF By 3-4 runs

17.0%

COL By 1-2 runs

15.6%

COL By 3-4 runs

9.8%

AI Model Projected Score
3.16
SAN FRANCISCO
1.88
COLORADO
Simulated Score
4
SAN FRANCISCO
6
COLORADO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Giants Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Rockies Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI Giants (-0) Win
Proj Runs: -1.3
D
Sim Rockies (+0) Loss
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 5.0
D
Sim u0.0
Proj Total: 10.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Aug 16, 2026 COL @ SF 13 - 7
Aug 15, 2026 COL @ SF 1 - 7
Aug 14, 2026 COL @ SF 5 - 2
Jul 12, 2026 COL @ SF 1 - 3
Jul 11, 2026 COL @ SF 2 - 4
Season Statistics Comparison
San Francisco SF
vs
Colorado COL
162
Games Played
162
4.13
Runs / Game
▲ 4.64
.245
Avg (AVG)
▲ .254
.306
On-Base (OBP)
▲ .322
.400
Slugging (SLG)
▲ .417
.706
OPS
▲ .739
178
Home Runs
▲ 180
Key Model Drivers
Strikeouts (L5) +9.9% more
San Francisco: 9.4 vs Colorado: 8.5
Total Bases (L5) +52.5% more
Colorado: 16.6 vs San Francisco: 10.9
Hits (L5) +46.1% more
Colorado: 8.6 vs San Francisco: 5.9
Errors (L5) +18.0% more
Colorado: 0.7 vs San Francisco: 0.5
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
SF Score 3.2 10
COL Score 1.9 7
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors 0.7 / 0.5 0.0 / 1.0
Hits 8.6 / 5.9 13.0 / 14.0
Home Runs 1.1 / 1.1 1.0 / 1.0
Strikeouts 8.5 / 9.4 7.0 / 6.0
Total Bases 16.6 / 10.9 20.0 / 22.0
Walks 4.5 / 4.3 6.0 / 3.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
92%TICKETS8%
95%MONEY5%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
86%TICKETS14%
94%MONEY6%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
39%TICKETS61%
49%MONEY51%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SF Advantage
65-97-0 (40.1%)
Margin: -0.6 ATS +/-:
COL
58-104-0 (35.8%)
Margin: -1.2 ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SF
(51.2%)
Margin: -0.6 ATS +/-:
COL
(51.2%)
Margin: -1.2 ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
SF
76-73-13
O: 51.0% / U: 49.0% Total +/-: +0.6
COL
77-80-5
O: 49.0% / U: 51.0% Total +/-: +0.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
COL
SF
COL
SF
ML
60% 97-64
49% 79-81
55% 88-73
53% 85-75
ATS
60% 97-64
62% 100-60
52% 83-78
52% 83-77
TTL
60% 93-62-6
55% 82-68-10
50% 77-78-6
46% 68-81-11
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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