NEW YORK
YANKEESNYY
39-25 | Road
10
KANSAS CITY
ROYALSKC
34-32 | Home
2
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Tim Hill
#41 | Relief Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Daniel Lynch IV
#41 | Relief Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tim Hill | None-None | 2.86 | -- | 0.1 | -- |
| Daniel Lynch IV | None-None | 2.03 | -- | 1.0 | 2 |
None-None
W-L
None-None
2.86
ERA
Ldr 2.03
--
WHIP
--
0.1
IP (Innings Pitched)
Ldr 1.0
--
K (Strikeouts)
Ldr 2
AI Model Win Probability
YANKEES
0%
ROYALS
100%
YANKEES
--
ROYALS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
7.1
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.4
NEW YORK
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.4 points (New York)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around NYY -1.4 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NYY)
NYY By 1-2 runs
19.7%
NYY By 3-4 runs
17.3%
KC By 1-2 runs
15.2%
KC By 3-4 runs
9.4%
AI Model Projected Score
New York
4.28
NEW YORK
Kansas City
2.85
KANSAS CITY
Simulated Score
New York
3
NEW YORK
Kansas City
5
KANSAS CITY
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Yankees
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Royals
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Yankees (-0)
Win
Proj Runs: -1.4
D
Sim
Royals (+0)
Loss
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 7.1
D
Sim
u0.0
Proj Total: 8.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
May 27, 2026
NYY @ KC
7 - 0
May 26, 2026
NYY @ KC
15 - 1
May 25, 2026
NYY @ KC
4 - 3
Apr 19, 2026
KC @ NYY
0 - 7
Apr 18, 2026
KC @ NYY
4 - 13
Season Statistics Comparison
New York
NYY
vs
Kansas City
KC
1
Games Played
▲
162
9.00
▲
Runs / Game
4.26
.375
▲
Avg (AVG)
.247
.447
▲
On-Base (OBP)
.316
.594
▲
Slugging (SLG)
.402
1.041
▲
OPS
.718
2
Home Runs
▲
170
Key Model Drivers
Runs per Game (Season)
+52.7% more
New York: 9.0
vs
Kansas City: 4.3
OPS (Season)
+32.3%
New York: 1.0%
vs
Kansas City: 71.8%
Home Runs (L5)
+27.6% more
New York: 2.0
vs
Kansas City: 1.4
Slugging Pct (Season)
+19.2%
New York: 59.4%
vs
Kansas City: 40.2%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
NYY Score
4.3
10
KC Score
2.9
2
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.5 / 0.6
1.0 / 1.0
Hits
11.3 / 9.3
9.0 / 16.0
Home Runs
1.4 / 2.0
1.0 / 2.0
Strikeouts
8.6 / 9.4
9.0 / 5.0
Total Bases
17.2 / 16.4
12.0 / 26.0
Walks
3.9 / 3.9
3.0 / 2.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
NYY
Advantage
95-71-0
(57.2%)
Margin: 0.9
ATS +/-:
KC
69-93-0
(42.6%)
Margin: -0.7
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
NYY
Advantage
(51.2%)
Margin: 0.9
ATS +/-:
KC
(47.5%)
Margin: -0.7
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
NYY
79-81-6
O: 49.4% / U: 50.6%
Total +/-: +0.2
KC
73-85-4
O: 46.2% / U: 53.8%
Total +/-: +0.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
KC
NYY
KC
NYY
ML
55%
89-72
47%
76-85
56%
90-70
52%
85-77
ATS
57%
91-70
59%
95-66
58%
93-67
53%
86-76
TTL
58%
90-64-7
53%
81-73-7
54%
83-70-7
53%
82-72-7
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