TEXAS
RANGERSTEX
31-35 | Road
16
MINNESOTA
TWINSMIN
35-30 | Home
4
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Cole Winn
#60 | Relief Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Royce Lewis
#23 | First Base| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cole Winn | None-None | 0.00 | -- | 1.0 | -- |
| Royce Lewis | None-None | -- | -- | -- | -- |
None-None
W-L
None-None
0.00
ERA
--
--
WHIP
--
1.0
IP (Innings Pitched)
--
--
K (Strikeouts)
--
AI Model Win Probability
RANGERS
0%
TWINS
100%
RANGERS
--
TWINS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
7.7
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.4
TEXAS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.4 points (Texas)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around TEX -0.4 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (TEX)
TEX By 1-2 runs
19.0%
TEX By 3-4 runs
14.7%
MIN By 1-2 runs
17.7%
MIN By 3-4 runs
12.4%
AI Model Projected Score
Texas
4.04
TEXAS
Minnesota
3.65
MINNESOTA
Simulated Score
Texas
4
TEXAS
Minnesota
6
MINNESOTA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Rangers
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Twins
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Rangers (-0)
Win
Proj Runs: -0.4
D
Sim
Twins (+0)
Loss
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 7.7
D
Sim
u0.0
Proj Total: 10.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Sep 27, 2026
TEX @ MIN
4 - 6
Sep 26, 2026
TEX @ MIN
6 - 2
Sep 25, 2026
TEX @ MIN
2 - 10
Jun 18, 2026
MIN @ TEX
9 - 3
Jun 16, 2026
MIN @ TEX
12 - 2
Season Statistics Comparison
Texas
TEX
vs
Minnesota
MIN
162
Games Played
162
4.15
Runs / Game
▲
4.56
.242
Avg (AVG)
▲
.245
.317
On-Base (OBP)
.317
.396
Slugging (SLG)
▲
.403
.713
OPS
▲
.720
183
Home Runs
▲
187
Key Model Drivers
Strikeouts (L5)
+13.5% more
Texas: 8.8
vs
Minnesota: 7.6
Walks (L5)
+74.3% more
Minnesota: 2.9
vs
Texas: 1.7
Home Runs (L5)
+54.1% more
Minnesota: 1.7
vs
Texas: 1.1
Errors (L5)
+28.0% more
Minnesota: 0.5
vs
Texas: 0.2
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
TEX Score
4.0
16
MIN Score
3.7
4
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.5 / 0.2
2.0 / 0.0
Hits
9.1 / 7.9
12.0 / 18.0
Home Runs
1.7 / 1.1
1.0 / 2.0
Strikeouts
7.6 / 8.8
4.0 / 4.0
Total Bases
15.3 / 12.7
18.0 / 28.0
Walks
2.9 / 1.7
4.0 / 2.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
TEX
Advantage
80-82-0
(49.4%)
Margin: -0.3
ATS +/-:
MIN
77-85-0
(47.5%)
Margin: -0.4
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
TEX
(48.2%)
Margin: -0.3
ATS +/-:
MIN
Advantage
(51.8%)
Margin: -0.4
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
TEX
84-69-9
O: 54.9% / U: 45.1%
Total +/-: +0.6
MIN
88-64-10
O: 57.9% / U: 42.1%
Total +/-: +1.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MIN
TEX
MIN
TEX
ML
52%
84-78
53%
86-76
50%
80-81
57%
91-70
ATS
59%
95-67
57%
92-70
59%
95-66
61%
98-63
TTL
51%
78-75-9
53%
78-70-14
53%
80-72-9
55%
81-66-14
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