CHICAGO
WHITE SOXCHW
22-44 | Road
4
HOUSTON
ASTROSHOU
36-29 | Home
2
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Grant Taylor
#31 | Relief Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Bennett Sousa
#62 | Relief Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grant Taylor | None-None | 0.00 | -- | 1.0 | -- |
| Bennett Sousa | None-None | 2.05 | -- | 2.0 | 4 |
None-None
W-L
None-None
0.00 Ldr
ERA
2.05
--
WHIP
--
1.0
IP (Innings Pitched)
Ldr 2.0
--
K (Strikeouts)
Ldr 4
AI Model Win Probability
WHITE SOX
100%
ASTROS
0%
WHITE SOX
--
ASTROS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
7.7
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.9
HOUSTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.9 points (Houston)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around HOU -0.9 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (HOU)
CHW By 1-2 runs
16.6%
CHW By 3-4 runs
11.0%
HOU By 1-2 runs
19.5%
HOU By 3-4 runs
15.9%
AI Model Projected Score
Chicago
3.41
CHICAGO
Houston
4.27
HOUSTON
Simulated Score
Chicago
3
CHICAGO
Houston
5
HOUSTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Astros
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Astros
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Astros (+0)
Loss
Proj Runs: -0.9
D
Sim
Astros (+0)
Loss
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 7.7
D
Sim
u0.0
Proj Total: 8.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Sep 30, 2026
CHW @ HOU
7 - 3
Sep 29, 2026
CHW @ HOU
6 - 3
Sep 3, 2026
CHW @ HOU
2 - 6
Sep 2, 2026
CHW @ HOU
0 - 2
Sep 1, 2026
CHW @ HOU
5 - 1
Season Statistics Comparison
Chicago
CHW
vs
Houston
HOU
1
Games Played
▲
2
6.00
▲
Runs / Game
3.00
.324
▲
Avg (AVG)
.169
.415
▲
On-Base (OBP)
.229
.412
▲
Slugging (SLG)
.354
.826
▲
OPS
.582
1
Home Runs
▲
4
Key Model Drivers
Strikeouts (L5)
+42.4% more
Houston: 10.4
vs
Chicago: 7.3
Errors (L5)
+42.0% more
Houston: 0.5
vs
Chicago: 0.1
Walks (L5)
+10.9% more
Houston: 3.2
vs
Chicago: 2.9
Runs per Game (Season)
+50.0% more
Chicago: 6.0
vs
Houston: 3.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CHW Score
3.4
4
HOU Score
4.3
2
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.5 / 0.1
0.0 / 0.0
Hits
7.5 / 7.0
9.0 / 4.0
Home Runs
0.8 / 1.0
0.0 / 1.0
Strikeouts
10.4 / 7.3
13.0 / 6.0
Total Bases
10.7 / 11.5
10.0 / 9.0
Walks
3.2 / 2.9
8.0 / 3.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CHW
Advantage
88-79-0
(52.7%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-:
HOU
81-83-0
(49.4%)
Margin: -0.2
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CHW
Advantage
(58.1%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-:
HOU
(51.2%)
Margin: -0.2
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
CHW
96-69-2
O: 58.2% / U: 41.8%
Total +/-: +0.9
HOU
81-74-9
O: 52.3% / U: 47.7%
Total +/-: +0.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
HOU
CHW
HOU
CHW
ML
50%
81-82
49%
81-86
47%
77-87
56%
94-73
ATS
56%
91-72
59%
99-68
55%
90-74
56%
93-74
TTL
45%
70-84-9
58%
96-69-2
45%
69-86-9
51%
84-81-2
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