Home / MLB Projections MLB / Giants @ Rockies SF @ COL

SAN FRANCISCO

GIANTSSF

38-28  |  Road

6
FINAL
Tue, Jun 10 • 8:40 PM ET
Coors Field
View Odds Details →

COLORADO

ROCKIESCOL

12-53  |  Home

5
Probable Pitchers
Camilo Doval
STARTING PITCHER

Camilo Doval

#57 | Relief Pitcher
@
Zach Agnos
STARTING PITCHER

Zach Agnos

#36 | Relief Pitcher
Player W-L ERA WHIP IP K
Camilo Doval None-None 1.45 -- 1.0 --
Zach Agnos None-None 4.43 -- 0.1 --
None-None W-L None-None
1.45 Ldr ERA 4.43
-- WHIP --
1.0 Ldr IP (Innings Pitched) 0.1
-- K (Strikeouts) --
AI Model Win Probability
GIANTS
0%
📊
ROCKIES
100%
GIANTS --
ROCKIES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
4.5
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.2
SAN FRANCISCO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.2 points (San Francisco)
GiantsSF (-3.5) 0 RockiesCOL (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Giants Cover

62.2%

Rockies Cover

37.8%

-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around SF -1.2 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SF)

SF By 1-2 runs

19.7%

SF By 3-4 runs

16.9%

COL By 1-2 runs

15.7%

COL By 3-4 runs

9.9%

AI Model Projected Score
2.88
SAN FRANCISCO
1.64
COLORADO
Simulated Score
4
SAN FRANCISCO
6
COLORADO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Giants Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Rockies Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI Giants (-0) Win
Proj Runs: -1.2
D
Sim Rockies (+0) Loss
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 4.5
D
Sim u0.0
Proj Total: 10.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Aug 16, 2026 COL @ SF 13 - 7
Aug 15, 2026 COL @ SF 1 - 7
Aug 14, 2026 COL @ SF 5 - 2
Jul 12, 2026 COL @ SF 1 - 3
Jul 11, 2026 COL @ SF 2 - 4
Season Statistics Comparison
San Francisco SF
vs
Colorado COL
162
Games Played
162
4.13
Runs / Game
▲ 4.64
.245
Avg (AVG)
▲ .254
.306
On-Base (OBP)
▲ .322
.400
Slugging (SLG)
▲ .417
.706
OPS
▲ .739
178
Home Runs
▲ 180
Key Model Drivers
Strikeouts (L5) +15.3% more
San Francisco: 9.2 vs Colorado: 7.8
Errors (L5) +75.0% more
Colorado: 1.0 vs San Francisco: 0.3
Total Bases (L5) +74.7% more
Colorado: 15.3 vs San Francisco: 8.8
Hits (L5) +66.9% more
Colorado: 8.9 vs San Francisco: 5.4
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
SF Score 2.9 6
COL Score 1.6 5
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors 1.0 / 0.3 0.0 / 1.0
Hits 8.9 / 5.4 8.0 / 7.0
Home Runs 0.6 / 0.6 2.0 / 2.0
Strikeouts 7.8 / 9.2 10.0 / 10.0
Total Bases 15.3 / 8.8 19.0 / 15.0
Walks 3.8 / 2.9 6.0 / 7.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
93%TICKETS7%
87%MONEY13%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
89%TICKETS11%
93%MONEY7%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
38%TICKETS62%
46%MONEY54%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SF Advantage
65-97-0 (40.1%)
Margin: -0.6 ATS +/-:
COL
58-104-0 (35.8%)
Margin: -1.2 ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SF
(51.2%)
Margin: -0.6 ATS +/-:
COL
(51.2%)
Margin: -1.2 ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
SF
76-73-13
O: 51.0% / U: 49.0% Total +/-: +0.6
COL
77-80-5
O: 49.0% / U: 51.0% Total +/-: +0.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
COL
SF
COL
SF
ML
60% 97-64
49% 79-81
55% 88-73
53% 85-75
ATS
60% 97-64
62% 100-60
52% 83-78
52% 83-77
TTL
60% 93-62-6
55% 82-68-10
50% 77-78-6
46% 68-81-11
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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