Home / MLB Projections MLB / Athletics @ Angels ATH @ LAA

ATHLETICS

ATHLETICSATH

26-42  |  Road

1
FINAL
Tue, Jun 10 • 9:38 PM ET
Angel Stadium
View Odds Details →

LOS ANGELES

ANGELSLAA

31-34  |  Home

2
Probable Pitchers
Hogan Harris
STARTING PITCHER

Hogan Harris

#36 | Relief Pitcher
@
Reid Detmers
STARTING PITCHER

Reid Detmers

#48 | Starting Pitcher
Player W-L ERA WHIP IP K
Hogan Harris None-None 3.55 -- 0.2 --
Reid Detmers None-None 5.40 -- 1.0 2
None-None W-L None-None
3.55 Ldr ERA 5.40
-- WHIP --
0.2 IP (Innings Pitched) Ldr 1.0
-- K (Strikeouts) Ldr 2
AI Model Win Probability
ATHLETICS
100%
📊
ANGELS
0%
ATHLETICS --
ANGELS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
8.7
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.2
LOS ANGELES
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.2 points (Los Angeles)
AthleticsATH (-3.5) 0 AngelsLAA (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Athletics Cover

29.3%

Angels Cover

70.7%

+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around LAA -2.2 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LAA)

ATH By 1-2 runs

13.0%

ATH By 3-4 runs

7.4%

LAA By 1-2 runs

19.5%

LAA By 3-4 runs

18.7%

AI Model Projected Score
3.26
ATHLETICS
5.44
LOS ANGELES
Simulated Score
3
ATHLETICS
5
LOS ANGELES
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Angels Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Angels Win
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Angels (+0) Win
Proj Runs: -2.2
D
Sim Angels (+0) Win
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 8.7
D
Sim u0.0
Proj Total: 8.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Sep 23, 2026 LAA @ ATH 3 - 7
Sep 22, 2026 LAA @ ATH 7 - 9
Jun 28, 2026 ATH @ LAA 1 - 4
Jun 27, 2026 ATH @ LAA 2 - 5
Jun 26, 2026 ATH @ LAA 9 - 3
Season Statistics Comparison
Athletics ATH
vs
Los Angeles LAA
162
Games Played
162
4.31 ▲
Runs / Game
4.04
.245 ▲
Avg (AVG)
.234
.317 ▲
On-Base (OBP)
.310
.402 ▲
Slugging (SLG)
.369
.719 ▲
OPS
.679
194 ▲
Home Runs
154
Key Model Drivers
Home Runs (L5) +9.8% more
Los Angeles: 1.3 vs Athletics: 1.2
Errors (L5) +68.5% more
Athletics: 1.3 vs Los Angeles: 0.4
Home Runs (Season) +20.6% more
Athletics: 194.0 vs Los Angeles: 154.0
Strikeouts (L5) +15.0% more
Athletics: 8.6 vs Los Angeles: 7.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
ATH Score 3.3 1
LAA Score 5.4 2
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors 0.4 / 1.3 0.0 / 0.0
Hits 7.3 / 8.0 7.0 / 4.0
Home Runs 1.3 / 1.2 1.0 / 0.0
Strikeouts 7.3 / 8.6 14.0 / 6.0
Total Bases 12.5 / 13.2 11.0 / 7.0
Walks 2.6 / 2.9 2.0 / 3.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
27%TICKETS73%
69%MONEY31%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
53%TICKETS47%
49%MONEY51%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
60%TICKETS40%
75%MONEY25%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
ATH Advantage
64-98-0 (39.5%)
Margin: -1.5 ATS +/-:
LAA
62-100-0 (38.3%)
Margin: -0.6 ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
ATH
(47.5%)
Margin: -1.5 ATS +/-:
LAA Advantage
(50.6%)
Margin: -0.6 ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
ATH
84-73-5
O: 53.5% / U: 46.5% Total +/-: +0.8
LAA
71-88-3
O: 44.7% / U: 55.4% Total +/-: +0.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LAA
ATH
LAA
ATH
ML
59% 96-66
59% 95-67
55% 89-73
54% 87-74
ATS
60% 97-65
52% 84-78
51% 82-80
50% 81-80
TTL
53% 83-74-5
54% 84-73-5
52% 82-75-5
42% 66-90-5
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
CC Sabathia's Divided Playoff Heart: Brewers Advance, Yankees Ex…
yahoo 0 minutes ago
Jeimer Candelario Opts for Free Agency After Brief Angels Stint
si 8 minutes ago
Cloud Production Secrets: NBC Sports, MLB, NHL, and Warner Bros.…
sportsvideo 5 hours, 56 minutes ago
Brewers vs. Dodgers NLCS Tickets: Prices, Schedule, and How to A…
sportingnews 5 hours, 58 minutes ago
Dodgers Outlast Braves in NLDS Game 4, Inch Closer to Three-Peat
hawaiitribune_herald 12 hours, 4 minutes ago