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EDMONTON

OILERSEDM

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1
FINAL
Mon, Jun 9 • 8:00 PM ET
Amerant Bank Arena
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FLORIDA

PANTHERSFLA

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6
AI Model Win Probability
OILERS
100%
📊
PANTHERS
0%
OILERS --
PANTHERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
8.1
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.3
FLORIDA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.3 points (Florida)
OilersEDM (-3.5) 0 PanthersFLA (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Oilers Cover

44.2%

Panthers Cover

55.8%

+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around FLA -0.3 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (FLA)

EDM By 1 goal

16.1%

EDM By 2-3 goals

15.6%

FLA By 1 goal

18.6%

FLA By 2-3 goals

21.8%

AI Model Projected Score
3.89
EDMONTON
4.18
FLORIDA
Simulated Score
3
EDMONTON
2
FLORIDA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Panthers Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Oilers Loss
50% Win Prob
A
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI Panthers (+0) Win
Proj Goals: -0.3
D
Sim Oilers (-0) Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
A
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 8.1
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 5.0
A
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 19, 2026 FLA @ EDM 4 - 0
Nov 22, 2025 EDM @ FLA 6 - 3
Jun 17, 2025 EDM @ FLA 1 - 5
Jun 14, 2025 FLA @ EDM 5 - 2
Jun 12, 2025 EDM @ FLA 5 - 4
Key Model Drivers
Takeaways (L5) +47.8% more
Florida: 7.5 vs Edmonton: 5.1
Hits (L5) +15.7% more
Florida: 51.4 vs Edmonton: 44.4
Faceoff % (L5) +5.2%
Florida: 51.2% vs Edmonton: 45.9%
Blocked Shots (L5) +25.4% more
Edmonton: 21.0 vs Florida: 15.7
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
EDM Score 3.9 1
FLA Score 4.2 6
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots 15.7 / 21.0 15.0 / 17.0
Faceoff % 51.2 / 45.9 48.4 / 51.6
Hits 51.4 / 44.4 26.0 / 34.0
Power Play % 30.1 / 30.0 27.3 / 16.7
Shots on Goal 31.9 / 37.5 31.0 / 33.0
Takeaways 7.5 / 5.1 3.0 / 3.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
43%TICKETS57%
39%MONEY61%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
48%TICKETS52%
22%MONEY78%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
55%TICKETS45%
45%MONEY55%
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
FLA
EDM
FLA
EDM
ML
0% 0-4
75% 3-1
0% 0-4
50% 2-2
ATS
25% 1-3
75% 3-1
50% 2-2
25% 1-3
TTL
25% 1-3
25% 1-3
0% 0-4
25% 1-3
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
Barkov Eyes Late November Return; Marchand Could Be Back Soon fo…
wsvn 2 hours, 27 minutes ago
Panthers Eyeing Vladimir Tarasenko as Insurance for Brad Marchan…
yardbarker 2 hours, 30 minutes ago
Penguins Trade Hallander to Oilers for Defenseman Stastney
observer_reporter 1 day, 2 hours ago
Flames Promote Aydar Suniev and Jonathan Castagna to Fill Roster…
yardbarker 1 day, 8 hours ago
Brad Marchand Forced Off Ice with Apparent Leg Injury in Panther…
theathleticuk 1 day, 20 hours ago