Home / MLB Projections MLB / Dodgers @ Padres LAD @ SD

LOS ANGELES

DODGERSLAD

39-27  |  Road

8
FINAL
Mon, Jun 9 • 9:40 PM ET
Petco Park
View Odds Details →

SAN DIEGO

PADRESSD

37-27  |  Home

7
Probable Pitchers
Tanner Scott
STARTING PITCHER

Tanner Scott

#66 | Relief Pitcher
@
Wandy Peralta
STARTING PITCHER

Wandy Peralta

#58 | Relief Pitcher
Player W-L ERA WHIP IP K
Tanner Scott None-None 4.11 -- 1.0 1
Wandy Peralta None-None 3.99 -- 1.0 --
None-None W-L None-None
4.11 ERA Ldr 3.99
-- WHIP --
1.0 IP (Innings Pitched) 1.0
1 Ldr K (Strikeouts) --
AI Model Win Probability
DODGERS
0%
📊
PADRES
100%
DODGERS --
PADRES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
7.9
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.7
LOS ANGELES
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.7 points (Los Angeles)
DodgersLAD (-3.5) 0 PadresSD (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Dodgers Cover

57.1%

Padres Cover

42.9%

-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around LAD -0.7 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LAD)

LAD By 1-2 runs

19.4%

LAD By 3-4 runs

15.6%

SD By 1-2 runs

17.0%

SD By 3-4 runs

11.4%

AI Model Projected Score
4.33
LOS ANGELES
3.61
SAN DIEGO
Simulated Score
3
LOS ANGELES
6
SAN DIEGO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Dodgers Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Padres Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI Dodgers (-0) Win
Proj Runs: -0.7
D
Sim Padres (+0) Loss
Proj Runs: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 7.9
D
Sim u0.0
Proj Total: 9.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Sep 24, 2026 SD @ LAD 4 - 2
Sep 23, 2026 SD @ LAD 5 - 1
Sep 22, 2026 SD @ LAD 0 - 7
Jul 5, 2026 SD @ LAD 5 - 2
Jul 4, 2026 SD @ LAD 0 - 3
Season Statistics Comparison
Los Angeles LAD
vs
San Diego SD
162 ▲
Games Played
2
4.94
Runs / Game
▲ 6.00
.257
Avg (AVG)
▲ .328
.338
On-Base (OBP)
▲ .362
.424
Slugging (SLG)
▲ .563
.762
OPS
▲ .925
204 ▲
Home Runs
4
Key Model Drivers
Home Runs (Season) +98.0% more
Los Angeles: 204.0 vs San Diego: 4.0
Total Bases (L5) +36.5% more
Los Angeles: 14.3 vs San Diego: 9.1
Hits (L5) +31.0% more
Los Angeles: 9.3 vs San Diego: 6.4
Strikeouts (L5) +12.8% more
Los Angeles: 8.2 vs San Diego: 7.2
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
LAD Score 4.3 8
SD Score 3.6 7
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors 0.5 / 0.4 2.0 / 1.0
Hits 6.4 / 9.3 7.0 / 12.0
Home Runs 0.6 / 0.7 0.0 / 1.0
Strikeouts 7.2 / 8.2 8.0 / 6.0
Total Bases 9.1 / 14.3 11.0 / 19.0
Walks 5.0 / 2.7 3.0 / 5.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
70%TICKETS30%
60%MONEY40%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
44%TICKETS56%
13%MONEY87%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
58%TICKETS42%
34%MONEY66%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LAD Advantage
103-63-0 (62.1%)
Margin: 1.2 ATS +/-:
SD
94-74-0 (56.0%)
Margin: 0.3 ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LAD
(43.4%)
Margin: 1.2 ATS +/-:
SD Advantage
(57.1%)
Margin: 0.3 ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
LAD
72-89-5
O: 44.7% / U: 55.3% Total +/-: 0.0
SD
78-85-5
O: 47.9% / U: 52.2% Total +/-: +0.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SD
LAD
SD
LAD
ML
51% 85-83
56% 92-73
51% 85-82
48% 79-87
ATS
54% 91-77
59% 98-67
55% 92-75
43% 72-94
TTL
51% 82-80-6
48% 77-82-6
54% 86-74-6
44% 70-90-6
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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