SEATTLE
MARINERSSEA
33-31 | Road
4
ARIZONA
DIAMONDBACKSARI
31-34 | Home
8
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Andres Munoz
#75 | Relief Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Juan Morillo
#62 | Relief Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andres Munoz | None-None | 1.30 | -- | 1.0 | 1 |
| Juan Morillo | None-None | 5.29 | -- | 1.1 | 1 |
None-None
W-L
None-None
1.30 Ldr
ERA
5.29
--
WHIP
--
1.0
IP (Innings Pitched)
Ldr 1.1
1
K (Strikeouts)
1
AI Model Win Probability
MARINERS
0%
DIAMONDBACKS
100%
MARINERS
--
DIAMONDBACKS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
7.8
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.8
SEATTLE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.8 points (Seattle)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around SEA -0.8 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SEA)
SEA By 1-2 runs
19.4%
SEA By 3-4 runs
15.7%
ARI By 1-2 runs
16.9%
ARI By 3-4 runs
11.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Seattle
4.26
SEATTLE
Arizona
3.49
ARIZONA
Simulated Score
Seattle
4
SEATTLE
Arizona
5
ARIZONA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Mariners
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Diamondbacks
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Mariners (-0)
Loss
Proj Runs: -0.8
D
Sim
Diamondbacks (+0)
Win
Proj Runs: -1.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 7.8
D
Sim
u0.0
Proj Total: 9.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
May 31, 2026
ARI @ SEA
2 - 3
May 30, 2026
ARI @ SEA
1 - 5
May 29, 2026
ARI @ SEA
6 - 7
Jun 11, 2025
SEA @ ARI
2 - 5
Jun 10, 2025
SEA @ ARI
3 - 10
Season Statistics Comparison
Seattle
SEA
vs
Arizona
ARI
162
Games Played
162
4.10
Runs / Game
▲
4.56
.233
Avg (AVG)
▲
.246
.314
On-Base (OBP)
▲
.318
.379
Slugging (SLG)
▲
.402
.693
OPS
▲
.720
182
▲
Home Runs
166
Key Model Drivers
Errors (L5)
+40.0% more
Seattle: 0.5
vs
Arizona: 0.1
Hits (L5)
+33.6% more
Seattle: 10.2
vs
Arizona: 6.8
Strikeouts (L5)
+30.5% more
Seattle: 10.9
vs
Arizona: 7.6
Total Bases (L5)
+19.1% more
Seattle: 14.6
vs
Arizona: 11.8
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
SEA Score
4.3
4
ARI Score
3.5
8
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.1 / 0.5
0.0 / 0.0
Hits
6.8 / 10.2
10.0 / 12.0
Home Runs
1.4 / 0.7
2.0 / 1.0
Strikeouts
7.6 / 10.9
12.0 / 10.0
Total Bases
11.8 / 14.6
17.0 / 16.0
Walks
4.2 / 2.3
3.0 / 10.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SEA
76-86-0
(46.9%)
Margin: -0.4
ATS +/-:
ARI
Advantage
86-76-0
(53.1%)
Margin: 0.1
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SEA
(37.0%)
Margin: -0.4
ATS +/-:
ARI
Advantage
(52.5%)
Margin: 0.1
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
SEA
86-68-8
O: 55.8% / U: 44.2%
Total +/-: +0.7
ARI
71-85-6
O: 45.5% / U: 54.5%
Total +/-: +0.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
ARI
SEA
ARI
SEA
ML
54%
87-74
50%
81-81
54%
86-74
52%
85-77
ATS
57%
91-70
60%
98-64
56%
89-71
59%
95-67
TTL
52%
80-73-8
56%
85-67-10
49%
73-77-9
53%
81-71-10
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