SAN DIEGO
PADRESSD
36-27 | Road
1
MILWAUKEE
BREWERSMIL
35-30 | Home
0
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Wandy Peralta
#58 | Relief Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Aaron Ashby
#26 | Relief Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wandy Peralta | None-None | 3.81 | -- | 0.1 | -- |
| Aaron Ashby | None-None | 0.00 | -- | 2.0 | 1 |
None-None
W-L
None-None
3.81
ERA
Ldr 0.00
--
WHIP
--
0.1
IP (Innings Pitched)
Ldr 2.0
--
K (Strikeouts)
Ldr 1
AI Model Win Probability
PADRES
0%
BREWERS
100%
PADRES
--
BREWERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
8.4
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.1
SAN DIEGO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.1 points (San Diego)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around SD -0.1 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SD)
SD By 1-2 runs
18.6%
SD By 3-4 runs
13.8%
MIL By 1-2 runs
18.3%
MIL By 3-4 runs
13.3%
AI Model Projected Score
San Diego
4.26
SAN DIEGO
Milwaukee
4.17
MILWAUKEE
Simulated Score
San Diego
4
SAN DIEGO
Milwaukee
6
MILWAUKEE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Padres
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Brewers
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Padres (-0)
Win
Proj Runs: -0.1
D
Sim
Brewers (+0)
Loss
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 8.4
D
Sim
u0.0
Proj Total: 10.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Oct 7, 2026
MIL @ SD
3 - 1
Oct 6, 2026
MIL @ SD
3 - 4
Oct 4, 2026
SD @ MIL
3 - 4
Oct 3, 2026
SD @ MIL
2 - 3
Aug 12, 2026
MIL @ SD
3 - 4
Season Statistics Comparison
San Diego
SD
vs
Milwaukee
MIL
2
Games Played
▲
162
6.00
▲
Runs / Game
5.14
.328
▲
Avg (AVG)
.258
.362
▲
On-Base (OBP)
.341
.563
▲
Slugging (SLG)
.403
.925
▲
OPS
.743
4
Home Runs
▲
154
Key Model Drivers
Errors (L5)
+66.0% more
San Diego: 0.8
vs
Milwaukee: 0.1
OPS (Season)
+18.2%
San Diego: 92.5%
vs
Milwaukee: 74.3%
Walks (L5)
+17.1% more
San Diego: 4.5
vs
Milwaukee: 3.7
Slugging Pct (Season)
+16.0%
San Diego: 56.3%
vs
Milwaukee: 40.3%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
SD Score
4.3
1
MIL Score
4.2
0
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.1 / 0.8
0.0 / 0.0
Hits
7.9 / 8.1
4.0 / 3.0
Home Runs
1.1 / 0.4
0.0 / 1.0
Strikeouts
9.7 / 6.2
6.0 / 9.0
Total Bases
11.9 / 10.6
4.0 / 6.0
Walks
3.7 / 4.5
2.0 / 6.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SD
94-74-0
(56.0%)
Margin: 0.3
ATS +/-:
MIL
Advantage
106-60-0
(63.9%)
Margin: 1.3
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SD
Advantage
(57.1%)
Margin: 0.3
ATS +/-:
MIL
(52.4%)
Margin: 1.3
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
SD
78-85-5
O: 47.9% / U: 52.2%
Total +/-: +0.2
MIL
73-88-5
O: 45.3% / U: 54.7%
Total +/-: +0.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MIL
SD
MIL
SD
ML
62%
101-61
51%
85-83
52%
84-78
51%
85-82
ATS
58%
94-68
54%
91-77
48%
78-84
55%
92-75
TTL
40%
62-92-8
51%
82-80-6
50%
77-77-8
54%
86-74-6
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