TEXAS
RANGERSTEX
30-35 | Road
4
WASHINGTON
NATIONALSWSH
30-34 | Home
2
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Trevor Williams
#51 | Relief Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Nasim Nunez
#26 | Second Base| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trevor Williams | None-None | 5.91 | -- | 4.1 | 2 |
| Nasim Nunez | None-None | -- | -- | -- | -- |
None-None
W-L
None-None
5.91
ERA
--
--
WHIP
--
4.1
IP (Innings Pitched)
--
2
K (Strikeouts)
--
AI Model Win Probability
RANGERS
0%
NATIONALS
100%
RANGERS
--
NATIONALS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
6.8
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.3
TEXAS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.3 points (Texas)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around TEX -2.3 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (TEX)
TEX By 1-2 runs
19.3%
TEX By 3-4 runs
18.9%
WSH By 1-2 runs
12.6%
WSH By 3-4 runs
7.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Texas
4.54
TEXAS
Washington
2.22
WASHINGTON
Simulated Score
Texas
3
TEXAS
Washington
6
WASHINGTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Rangers
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Nationals
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Rangers (-0)
Win
Proj Runs: -2.3
D
Sim
Nationals (+0)
Loss
Proj Runs: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 6.8
D
Sim
u0.0
Proj Total: 9.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Aug 20, 2026
WSH @ TEX
0 - 2
Aug 19, 2026
WSH @ TEX
6 - 0
Aug 18, 2026
WSH @ TEX
0 - 5
Jun 8, 2025
TEX @ WSH
4 - 2
Jun 7, 2025
TEX @ WSH
5 - 0
Season Statistics Comparison
Texas
TEX
vs
Washington
WSH
162
Games Played
162
4.15
Runs / Game
▲
5.07
.242
Avg (AVG)
▲
.246
.317
On-Base (OBP)
▲
.321
.396
Slugging (SLG)
▲
.423
.713
OPS
▲
.744
183
Home Runs
▲
210
Key Model Drivers
Home Runs (L5)
+22.0% more
Texas: 0.6
vs
Washington: 0.4
Hits (L5)
+14.9% more
Texas: 6.3
vs
Washington: 5.4
Total Bases (L5)
+13.7% more
Texas: 9.0
vs
Washington: 7.8
Walks (L5)
+106.0% more
Washington: 3.1
vs
Texas: 1.5
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
TEX Score
4.5
4
WSH Score
2.2
2
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.8 / 0.3
1.0 / 0.0
Hits
5.4 / 6.3
7.0 / 11.0
Home Runs
0.4 / 0.6
1.0 / 2.0
Strikeouts
7.7 / 7.8
7.0 / 11.0
Total Bases
7.8 / 9.0
11.0 / 20.0
Walks
3.1 / 1.5
2.0 / 2.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
TEX
Advantage
80-82-0
(49.4%)
Margin: -0.3
ATS +/-:
WSH
77-85-0
(47.5%)
Margin: 0.0
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
TEX
(48.2%)
Margin: -0.3
ATS +/-:
WSH
Advantage
(56.2%)
Margin: 0.0
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
TEX
84-69-9
O: 54.9% / U: 45.1%
Total +/-: +0.6
WSH
85-69-8
O: 55.2% / U: 44.8%
Total +/-: +1.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
WSH
TEX
WSH
TEX
ML
57%
92-69
53%
86-76
54%
87-74
57%
91-70
ATS
58%
93-68
57%
92-70
57%
91-70
61%
98-63
TTL
50%
77-78-6
53%
78-70-14
42%
65-90-6
55%
81-66-14
Contextual Game News
Trump Surprises Clemens with Medal of Freedom Announcement at Te…
Diamondbacks Honor Virahonda and Hagaman as Top Minor Leaguers A…
Penalties and Turnovers Sink Colorado in 29-7 Loss to No. 12 Tex…
Texas Rangers Face $38.3M Arbitration Decisions on 10 Players
Urban Meyer's Top 5 Snub: Why Indiana and Miami Didn't Make the …