Home / MLB Projections MLB / Dodgers @ Cardinals LAD @ STL

LOS ANGELES

DODGERSLAD

38-27  |  Road

7
FINAL
Sun, Jun 8 • 2:15 PM ET
Busch Stadium
View Odds Details →

ST. LOUIS

CARDINALSSTL

36-28  |  Home

3
Probable Pitchers
Tanner Scott
STARTING PITCHER

Tanner Scott

#66 | Relief Pitcher
@
Matt Svanson
STARTING PITCHER

Matt Svanson

#49 | Relief Pitcher
Player W-L ERA WHIP IP K
Tanner Scott None-None 4.25 -- 1.0 --
Matt Svanson None-None 3.95 -- 2.0 3
None-None W-L None-None
4.25 ERA Ldr 3.95
-- WHIP --
1.0 IP (Innings Pitched) Ldr 2.0
-- K (Strikeouts) Ldr 3
AI Model Win Probability
DODGERS
100%
📊
CARDINALS
0%
DODGERS --
CARDINALS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
9.7
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.4
ST. LOUIS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.4 points (St. Louis)
DodgersLAD (-3.5) 0 CardinalsSTL (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Dodgers Cover

36.1%

Cardinals Cover

63.9%

+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around STL -1.4 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (STL)

LAD By 1-2 runs

15.2%

LAD By 3-4 runs

9.4%

STL By 1-2 runs

19.7%

STL By 3-4 runs

17.3%

AI Model Projected Score
4.14
LOS ANGELES
5.56
ST. LOUIS
Simulated Score
5
LOS ANGELES
3
ST. LOUIS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Cardinals Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Dodgers Win
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI Cardinals (+0) Loss
Proj Runs: -1.4
D
Sim Dodgers (-0) Win
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 9.7
D
Sim u0.0
Proj Total: 8.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Sep 3, 2026 STL @ LAD 2 - 3
Sep 2, 2026 STL @ LAD 8 - 6
Sep 1, 2026 STL @ LAD 13 - 8
May 3, 2026 LAD @ STL 4 - 1
May 2, 2026 LAD @ STL 2 - 3
Season Statistics Comparison
Los Angeles LAD
vs
St. Louis STL
162
Games Played
162
4.94 ▲
Runs / Game
4.44
.257 ▲
Avg (AVG)
.239
.338 ▲
On-Base (OBP)
.313
.424 ▲
Slugging (SLG)
.378
.762 ▲
OPS
.691
204 ▲
Home Runs
167
Key Model Drivers
Home Runs (L5) +33.0% more
St. Louis: 0.9 vs Los Angeles: 0.5
Errors (L5) +37.0% more
Los Angeles: 0.5 vs St. Louis: 0.2
Walks (L5) +20.8% more
Los Angeles: 3.5 vs St. Louis: 2.8
Strikeouts (L5) +19.0% more
Los Angeles: 8.3 vs St. Louis: 6.7
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
LAD Score 4.1 7
STL Score 5.6 3
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors 0.2 / 0.5 0.0 / 0.0
Hits 8.2 / 9.0 11.0 / 10.0
Home Runs 0.9 / 0.5 0.0 / 1.0
Strikeouts 6.7 / 8.3 8.0 / 8.0
Total Bases 11.8 / 12.0 15.0 / 19.0
Walks 2.8 / 3.5 3.0 / 1.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
79%TICKETS21%
85%MONEY15%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
53%TICKETS47%
38%MONEY62%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
54%TICKETS46%
79%MONEY21%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LAD Advantage
103-63-0 (62.1%)
Margin: 1.2 ATS +/-:
STL
77-85-0 (47.5%)
Margin: -0.2 ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LAD
(43.4%)
Margin: 1.2 ATS +/-:
STL Advantage
(53.7%)
Margin: -0.2 ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
LAD
72-89-5
O: 44.7% / U: 55.3% Total +/-: 0.0
STL
74-80-8
O: 48.1% / U: 51.9% Total +/-: +0.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
STL
LAD
STL
LAD
ML
53% 85-74
56% 92-73
52% 84-77
48% 79-87
ATS
56% 89-70
59% 98-67
53% 85-76
43% 72-94
TTL
46% 68-81-10
48% 77-82-6
50% 76-75-10
44% 70-90-6
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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