ATLANTA
BRAVESATL
27-36 | Road
3
SAN FRANCISCO
GIANTSSF
37-28 | Home
4
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Dylan Dodd
#46 | Relief Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Camilo Doval
#57 | Relief Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dylan Dodd | None-None | 0.00 | -- | 0.1 | -- |
| Camilo Doval | None-None | 1.50 | -- | 1.0 | 2 |
None-None
W-L
None-None
0.00 Ldr
ERA
1.50
--
WHIP
--
0.1
IP (Innings Pitched)
Ldr 1.0
--
K (Strikeouts)
Ldr 2
AI Model Win Probability
BRAVES
0%
GIANTS
100%
BRAVES
--
GIANTS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
6.6
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.6
ATLANTA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.6 points (Atlanta)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around ATL -0.6 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (ATL)
ATL By 1-2 runs
19.2%
ATL By 3-4 runs
15.2%
SF By 1-2 runs
17.3%
SF By 3-4 runs
11.9%
AI Model Projected Score
Atlanta
3.59
ATLANTA
San Francisco
3.03
SAN FRANCISCO
Simulated Score
Atlanta
3
ATLANTA
San Francisco
4
SAN FRANCISCO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Braves
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Giants
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Braves (-0)
Loss
Proj Runs: -0.6
D
Sim
Giants (+0)
Win
Proj Runs: -1.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 6.6
D
Sim
u0.0
Proj Total: 7.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Aug 31, 2026
SF @ ATL
7 - 3
Jun 28, 2026
ATL @ SF
2 - 3
Jun 27, 2026
ATL @ SF
0 - 5
Jun 26, 2026
ATL @ SF
3 - 1
Jun 17, 2026
SF @ ATL
7 - 5
Season Statistics Comparison
Atlanta
ATL
vs
San Francisco
SF
1
Games Played
▲
162
5.00
▲
Runs / Game
4.13
.233
Avg (AVG)
▲
.245
.324
▲
On-Base (OBP)
.306
.433
▲
Slugging (SLG)
.400
.757
▲
OPS
.706
1
Home Runs
▲
178
Key Model Drivers
Home Runs (L5)
+25.8% more
Atlanta: 1.2
vs
San Francisco: 0.9
Errors (L5)
+21.0% more
Atlanta: 0.6
vs
San Francisco: 0.4
Runs per Game (Season)
+17.4% more
Atlanta: 5.0
vs
San Francisco: 4.1
Total Bases (L5)
+12.3% more
Atlanta: 12.2
vs
San Francisco: 10.7
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
ATL Score
3.6
3
SF Score
3.0
4
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.4 / 0.6
0.0 / 1.0
Hits
6.5 / 7.3
3.0 / 6.0
Home Runs
0.9 / 1.2
0.0 / 0.0
Strikeouts
9.7 / 10.1
8.0 / 6.0
Total Bases
10.7 / 12.2
5.0 / 8.0
Walks
3.3 / 2.8
2.0 / 3.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
ATL
Advantage
97-72-0
(57.4%)
Margin: 0.7
ATS +/-:
SF
65-97-0
(40.1%)
Margin: -0.6
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
ATL
Advantage
(52.1%)
Margin: 0.7
ATS +/-:
SF
(51.2%)
Margin: -0.6
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
ATL
76-83-10
O: 47.8% / U: 52.2%
Total +/-: 0.0
SF
76-73-13
O: 51.0% / U: 49.0%
Total +/-: +0.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SF
ATL
SF
ATL
ML
49%
79-81
46%
77-90
53%
85-75
54%
90-78
ATS
62%
100-60
57%
96-71
52%
83-77
52%
87-81
TTL
55%
82-68-10
53%
83-73-11
46%
68-81-11
49%
76-80-11
Contextual Game News
Yankees and Braves Urged to Cut Ties with Underperforming Stars …
Dodgers Outlast Braves in NLDS Game 4, Inch Closer to Three-Peat
Dodgers Embrace 'Dinosaur' Label While Trolling Padres After NLD…
Walt Weiss Reveals Why Ronald Acuña Jr. Was DH in Game 3
Shohei Ohtani's Slump Raises Concerns for Dodgers in NLDS