TEXAS
RANGERSTEX
29-35 | Road
5
WASHINGTON
NATIONALSWSH
30-33 | Home
0
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Jacob deGrom
#48 | Starting Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Jose Tena
#8 | Designated Hitter| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacob deGrom | None-None | 2.12 | -- | 7.0 | 8 |
| Jose Tena | None-None | -- | -- | -- | -- |
None-None
W-L
None-None
2.12
ERA
--
--
WHIP
--
7.0
IP (Innings Pitched)
--
8
K (Strikeouts)
--
AI Model Win Probability
RANGERS
0%
NATIONALS
100%
RANGERS
--
NATIONALS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
7.2
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
0.0
TEXAS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around TEX 0.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (TEX)
TEX By 1-2 runs
18.5%
TEX By 3-4 runs
13.7%
WSH By 1-2 runs
18.3%
WSH By 3-4 runs
13.4%
AI Model Projected Score
Texas
3.63
TEXAS
Washington
3.58
WASHINGTON
Simulated Score
Texas
4
TEXAS
Washington
6
WASHINGTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Rangers
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Nationals
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Rangers (-0)
Win
Proj Runs: 0.0
D
Sim
Nationals (+0)
Loss
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 7.2
D
Sim
u0.0
Proj Total: 10.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Aug 20, 2026
WSH @ TEX
0 - 2
Aug 19, 2026
WSH @ TEX
6 - 0
Aug 18, 2026
WSH @ TEX
0 - 5
Jun 8, 2025
TEX @ WSH
4 - 2
Jun 7, 2025
TEX @ WSH
5 - 0
Season Statistics Comparison
Texas
TEX
vs
Washington
WSH
162
Games Played
162
4.15
Runs / Game
▲
5.07
.242
Avg (AVG)
▲
.246
.317
On-Base (OBP)
▲
.321
.396
Slugging (SLG)
▲
.423
.713
OPS
▲
.744
183
Home Runs
▲
210
Key Model Drivers
Home Runs (L5)
+33.0% more
Texas: 1.0
vs
Washington: 0.6
Walks (L5)
+50.9% more
Washington: 2.6
vs
Texas: 1.8
Runs per Game (Season)
+22.2% more
Washington: 5.1
vs
Texas: 4.2
Errors (L5)
+20.0% more
Washington: 0.7
vs
Texas: 0.5
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
TEX Score
3.6
5
WSH Score
3.6
0
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.7 / 0.5
1.0 / 0.0
Hits
6.6 / 5.5
3.0 / 8.0
Home Runs
0.6 / 1.0
0.0 / 0.0
Strikeouts
7.5 / 7.1
8.0 / 9.0
Total Bases
10.2 / 9.0
3.0 / 9.0
Walks
2.6 / 1.8
4.0 / 1.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
TEX
Advantage
80-82-0
(49.4%)
Margin: -0.3
ATS +/-:
WSH
77-85-0
(47.5%)
Margin: 0.0
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
TEX
(48.2%)
Margin: -0.3
ATS +/-:
WSH
Advantage
(56.2%)
Margin: 0.0
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
TEX
84-69-9
O: 54.9% / U: 45.1%
Total +/-: +0.6
WSH
85-69-8
O: 55.2% / U: 44.8%
Total +/-: +1.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
WSH
TEX
WSH
TEX
ML
57%
92-69
53%
86-76
54%
87-74
57%
91-70
ATS
58%
93-68
57%
92-70
57%
91-70
61%
98-63
TTL
50%
77-78-6
53%
78-70-14
42%
65-90-6
55%
81-66-14
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