FLORIDA
PANTHERSFLA
0-0-0 | Road
5
EDMONTON
OILERSEDM
0-0-0 | Home
4
AI Model Win Probability
PANTHERS
100%
OILERS
0%
PANTHERS
--
OILERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
8.5
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.4
EDMONTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.4 points (Edmonton)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around EDM -0.4 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (EDM)
FLA By 1 goal
15.8%
FLA By 2-3 goals
15.0%
EDM By 1 goal
18.7%
EDM By 2-3 goals
22.5%
AI Model Projected Score
Florida
4.05
FLORIDA
Edmonton
4.4
EDMONTON
Simulated Score
Florida
2
FLORIDA
Edmonton
4
EDMONTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Oilers
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Oilers
Loss
50% Win Prob
A
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Oilers (+0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -0.4
D
Sim
Oilers (+0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -2.0
A
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 8.5
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 6.0
A
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 19, 2026
FLA @ EDM
4 - 0
Nov 22, 2025
EDM @ FLA
6 - 3
Jun 17, 2025
EDM @ FLA
1 - 5
Jun 14, 2025
FLA @ EDM
5 - 2
Jun 12, 2025
EDM @ FLA
5 - 4
Key Model Drivers
Shots on Goal (L5)
+23.7% more
Edmonton: 33.3
vs
Florida: 26.9
Blocked Shots (L5)
+21.9% more
Edmonton: 19.5
vs
Florida: 16.0
Power Play % (L5)
+4.1%
Edmonton: 36.7%
vs
Florida: 32.6%
Faceoff % (L5)
+3.6%
Florida: 49.6%
vs
Edmonton: 46.1%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
FLA Score
4.1
5
EDM Score
4.4
4
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
19.5 / 16.0
24.0 / 15.0
Faceoff %
46.1 / 49.6
45.7 / 54.3
Hits
47.1 / 47.1
39.0 / 60.0
Power Play %
36.7 / 32.6
16.7 / 25.0
Shots on Goal
33.3 / 26.9
46.0 / 42.0
Takeaways
5.2 / 5.3
5.0 / 12.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
EDM
FLA
EDM
FLA
ML
75%
3-1
0%
0-4
50%
2-2
0%
0-4
ATS
75%
3-1
25%
1-3
25%
1-3
50%
2-2
TTL
25%
1-3
25%
1-3
25%
1-3
0%
0-4
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