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TEXAS

RANGERSTEX

29-34  |  Road

0
FINAL
Fri, Jun 6 • 6:45 PM ET
Nationals Park
View Odds Details →

WASHINGTON

NATIONALSWSH

29-33  |  Home

2
Probable Pitchers
Alejandro Osuna
STARTING PITCHER

Alejandro Osuna

#19 | Left Field
@
Nasim Nunez
STARTING PITCHER

Nasim Nunez

#26 | Second Base
Player W-L ERA WHIP IP K
Alejandro Osuna None-None -- -- -- --
Nasim Nunez None-None -- -- -- --
None-None W-L None-None
-- ERA --
-- WHIP --
-- IP (Innings Pitched) --
-- K (Strikeouts) --
AI Model Win Probability
RANGERS
100%
📊
NATIONALS
0%
RANGERS --
NATIONALS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
7.7
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.6
WASHINGTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.6 points (Washington)
RangersTEX (-3.5) 0 NationalsWSH (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Rangers Cover

44.1%

Nationals Cover

55.9%

+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around WSH -0.6 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (WSH)

TEX By 1-2 runs

17.3%

TEX By 3-4 runs

11.8%

WSH By 1-2 runs

19.2%

WSH By 3-4 runs

15.2%

AI Model Projected Score
3.55
TEXAS
4.14
WASHINGTON
Simulated Score
3
TEXAS
5
WASHINGTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Nationals Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Nationals Win
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Nationals (+0) Win
Proj Runs: -0.6
D
Sim Nationals (+0) Win
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 7.7
D
Sim u0.0
Proj Total: 8.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Aug 20, 2026 WSH @ TEX 0 - 2
Aug 19, 2026 WSH @ TEX 6 - 0
Aug 18, 2026 WSH @ TEX 0 - 5
Jun 8, 2025 TEX @ WSH 4 - 2
Jun 7, 2025 TEX @ WSH 5 - 0
Season Statistics Comparison
Texas TEX
vs
Washington WSH
162
Games Played
162
4.15
Runs / Game
▲ 5.07
.242
Avg (AVG)
▲ .246
.317
On-Base (OBP)
▲ .321
.396
Slugging (SLG)
▲ .423
.713
OPS
▲ .744
183
Home Runs
▲ 210
Key Model Drivers
Walks (L5) +31.7% more
Washington: 3.5 vs Texas: 2.6
Errors (L5) +29.0% more
Washington: 0.6 vs Texas: 0.3
Runs per Game (Season) +22.2% more
Washington: 5.1 vs Texas: 4.2
Home Runs (Season) +14.8% more
Washington: 210.0 vs Texas: 183.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
TEX Score 3.6 0
WSH Score 4.1 2
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors 0.6 / 0.3 1.0 / 1.0
Hits 7.4 / 7.2 5.0 / 2.0
Home Runs 0.5 / 1.4 1.0 / 0.0
Strikeouts 7.3 / 9.7 8.0 / 2.0
Total Bases 11.3 / 12.5 8.0 / 2.0
Walks 3.5 / 2.6 1.0 / 0.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
55%TICKETS45%
55%MONEY45%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
29%TICKETS71%
47%MONEY53%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
44%TICKETS56%
49%MONEY51%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
TEX Advantage
80-82-0 (49.4%)
Margin: -0.3 ATS +/-:
WSH
77-85-0 (47.5%)
Margin: 0.0 ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
TEX
(48.2%)
Margin: -0.3 ATS +/-:
WSH Advantage
(56.2%)
Margin: 0.0 ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
TEX
84-69-9
O: 54.9% / U: 45.1% Total +/-: +0.6
WSH
85-69-8
O: 55.2% / U: 44.8% Total +/-: +1.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
WSH
TEX
WSH
TEX
ML
57% 92-69
53% 86-76
54% 87-74
57% 91-70
ATS
58% 93-68
57% 92-70
57% 91-70
61% 98-63
TTL
50% 77-78-6
53% 78-70-14
42% 65-90-6
55% 81-66-14
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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