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KANSAS CITY

ROYALSKC

33-30  |  Road

2
FINAL
Fri, Jun 6 • 7:40 PM ET
Rate Field
View Odds Details →

CHICAGO

WHITE SOXCHW

20-43  |  Home

7
Probable Pitchers
Daniel Lynch IV
STARTING PITCHER

Daniel Lynch IV

#41 | Relief Pitcher
@
Davis Martin
STARTING PITCHER

Davis Martin

#65 | Starting Pitcher
Player W-L ERA WHIP IP K
Daniel Lynch IV None-None 2.10 -- 1.1 --
Davis Martin None-None 3.62 -- 6.0 7
None-None W-L None-None
2.10 Ldr ERA 3.62
-- WHIP --
1.1 IP (Innings Pitched) Ldr 6.0
-- K (Strikeouts) Ldr 7
AI Model Win Probability
ROYALS
0%
📊
WHITE SOX
100%
ROYALS --
WHITE SOX --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
7.3
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.4
KANSAS CITY
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.4 points (Kansas City)
RoyalsKC (-3.5) 0 White SoxCHW (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Royals Cover

72.8%

White Sox Cover

27.2%

-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around KC -2.4 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (KC)

KC By 1-2 runs

19.2%

KC By 3-4 runs

19.1%

CHW By 1-2 runs

12.3%

CHW By 3-4 runs

6.7%

AI Model Projected Score
4.84
KANSAS CITY
2.41
CHICAGO
Simulated Score
3
KANSAS CITY
6
CHICAGO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Royals Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim White Sox Win
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI Royals (-0) Loss
Proj Runs: -2.4
D
Sim White Sox (+0) Win
Proj Runs: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 7.3
D
Sim u0.0
Proj Total: 9.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Sep 24, 2026 CHW @ KC 9 - 1
Sep 23, 2026 CHW @ KC 4 - 5
Sep 22, 2026 CHW @ KC 14 - 11
Jun 28, 2026 KC @ CHW 5 - 4
Jun 27, 2026 KC @ CHW 1 - 2
Season Statistics Comparison
Kansas City KC
vs
Chicago CHW
162 ▲
Games Played
1
4.26
Runs / Game
▲ 6.00
.247
Avg (AVG)
▲ .324
.316
On-Base (OBP)
▲ .415
.402
Slugging (SLG)
▲ .412
.718
OPS
▲ .826
170 ▲
Home Runs
1
Key Model Drivers
Home Runs (Season) +99.4% more
Kansas City: 170.0 vs Chicago: 1.0
Home Runs (L5) +60.0% more
Kansas City: 0.9 vs Chicago: 0.3
Errors (L5) +51.0% more
Kansas City: 0.8 vs Chicago: 0.2
Total Bases (L5) +22.3% more
Kansas City: 14.7 vs Chicago: 11.4
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
KC Score 4.8 2
CHW Score 2.4 7
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors 0.2 / 0.8 0.0 / 2.0
Hits 8.7 / 10.5 7.0 / 7.0
Home Runs 0.3 / 0.9 1.0 / 2.0
Strikeouts 8.2 / 6.9 8.0 / 6.0
Total Bases 11.4 / 14.7 12.0 / 14.0
Walks 3.5 / 3.4 1.0 / 7.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
86%TICKETS14%
87%MONEY13%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
70%TICKETS30%
68%MONEY32%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
56%TICKETS44%
16%MONEY84%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
KC
69-93-0 (42.6%)
Margin: -0.7 ATS +/-:
CHW Advantage
88-80-0 (52.4%)
Margin: 0.3 ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
KC
(47.5%)
Margin: -0.7 ATS +/-:
CHW Advantage
(57.7%)
Margin: 0.3 ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
KC
73-85-4
O: 46.2% / U: 53.8% Total +/-: +0.6
CHW
97-69-2
O: 58.4% / U: 41.6% Total +/-: +1.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CHW
KC
CHW
KC
ML
48% 81-87
55% 89-72
56% 94-74
56% 90-70
ATS
59% 99-69
57% 91-70
55% 93-75
58% 93-67
TTL
58% 97-69-2
58% 90-64-7
51% 85-81-2
54% 83-70-7
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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