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LOS ANGELES

DODGERSLAD

38-25  |  Road

0
FINAL
Fri, Jun 6 • 8:15 PM ET
Busch Stadium
View Odds Details →

ST. LOUIS

CARDINALSSTL

34-28  |  Home

5
Probable Pitchers
Justin Wrobleski
STARTING PITCHER

Justin Wrobleski

#70 | Starting Pitcher
@
Pedro Pages
STARTING PITCHER

Pedro Pages

#43 | Catcher
Player W-L ERA WHIP IP K
Justin Wrobleski None-None 7.20 -- 6.0 5
Pedro Pages None-None -- -- -- --
None-None W-L None-None
7.20 ERA --
-- WHIP --
6.0 IP (Innings Pitched) --
5 K (Strikeouts) --
AI Model Win Probability
DODGERS
100%
📊
CARDINALS
0%
DODGERS --
CARDINALS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
10.8
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.1
ST. LOUIS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.1 points (St. Louis)
DodgersLAD (-3.5) 0 CardinalsSTL (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Dodgers Cover

49.1%

Cardinals Cover

50.9%

+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around STL -0.1 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (STL)

LAD By 1-2 runs

18.3%

LAD By 3-4 runs

13.3%

STL By 1-2 runs

18.6%

STL By 3-4 runs

13.8%

AI Model Projected Score
5.36
LOS ANGELES
5.45
ST. LOUIS
Simulated Score
5
LOS ANGELES
3
ST. LOUIS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Cardinals Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Dodgers Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI Cardinals (+0) Win
Proj Runs: -0.1
D
Sim Dodgers (-0) Loss
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 10.8
D
Sim u0.0
Proj Total: 8.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Sep 3, 2026 STL @ LAD 2 - 3
Sep 2, 2026 STL @ LAD 8 - 6
Sep 1, 2026 STL @ LAD 13 - 8
May 3, 2026 LAD @ STL 4 - 1
May 2, 2026 LAD @ STL 2 - 3
Season Statistics Comparison
Los Angeles LAD
vs
St. Louis STL
162
Games Played
162
4.94 ▲
Runs / Game
4.44
.257 ▲
Avg (AVG)
.239
.338 ▲
On-Base (OBP)
.313
.424 ▲
Slugging (SLG)
.378
.762 ▲
OPS
.691
204 ▲
Home Runs
167
Key Model Drivers
Walks (L5) +48.8% more
Los Angeles: 4.9 vs St. Louis: 2.5
Home Runs (L5) +20.7% more
Los Angeles: 1.2 vs St. Louis: 0.9
Home Runs (Season) +18.1% more
Los Angeles: 204.0 vs St. Louis: 167.0
Strikeouts (L5) +17.7% more
Los Angeles: 7.4 vs St. Louis: 6.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
LAD Score 5.4 0
STL Score 5.5 5
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors 0.4 / 0.5 0.0 / 0.0
Hits 8.2 / 8.4 7.0 / 10.0
Home Runs 0.9 / 1.2 2.0 / 0.0
Strikeouts 6.1 / 7.4 9.0 / 6.0
Total Bases 12.6 / 13.7 13.0 / 13.0
Walks 2.5 / 4.9 0.0 / 3.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
70%TICKETS30%
43%MONEY57%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
55%TICKETS45%
73%MONEY27%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
71%TICKETS29%
84%MONEY16%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LAD Advantage
103-63-0 (62.1%)
Margin: 1.2 ATS +/-:
STL
77-85-0 (47.5%)
Margin: -0.2 ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LAD
(43.4%)
Margin: 1.2 ATS +/-:
STL Advantage
(53.7%)
Margin: -0.2 ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
LAD
72-89-5
O: 44.7% / U: 55.3% Total +/-: 0.0
STL
74-80-8
O: 48.1% / U: 51.9% Total +/-: +0.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
STL
LAD
STL
LAD
ML
53% 85-74
56% 92-73
52% 84-77
48% 79-87
ATS
56% 89-70
59% 98-67
53% 85-76
43% 72-94
TTL
46% 68-81-10
48% 77-82-6
50% 76-75-10
44% 70-90-6
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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