SEATTLE
MARINERSSEA
32-29 | Road
4
LOS ANGELES
ANGELSLAA
28-33 | Home
5
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Eduard Bazardo
#83 | Relief Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Reid Detmers
#48 | Starting Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eduard Bazardo | None-None | 3.69 | -- | 2.0 | 4 |
| Reid Detmers | None-None | 5.81 | -- | 1.0 | 2 |
None-None
W-L
None-None
3.69 Ldr
ERA
5.81
--
WHIP
--
2.0 Ldr
IP (Innings Pitched)
1.0
4 Ldr
K (Strikeouts)
2
AI Model Win Probability
MARINERS
0%
ANGELS
100%
MARINERS
--
ANGELS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
7.8
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.1
SEATTLE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.1 points (Seattle)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around SEA -1.1 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SEA)
SEA By 1-2 runs
19.6%
SEA By 3-4 runs
16.4%
LAA By 1-2 runs
16.2%
LAA By 3-4 runs
10.5%
AI Model Projected Score
Seattle
4.41
SEATTLE
Los Angeles
3.36
LOS ANGELES
Simulated Score
Seattle
3
SEATTLE
Los Angeles
6
LOS ANGELES
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Mariners
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Angels
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Mariners (-0)
Loss
Proj Runs: -1.1
D
Sim
Angels (+0)
Win
Proj Runs: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 7.8
D
Sim
u0.0
Proj Total: 9.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Sep 27, 2026
LAA @ SEA
3 - 7
Sep 26, 2026
LAA @ SEA
4 - 8
Sep 25, 2026
LAA @ SEA
7 - 5
Sep 24, 2026
LAA @ SEA
6 - 4
Sep 16, 2026
SEA @ LAA
7 - 2
Season Statistics Comparison
Seattle
SEA
vs
Los Angeles
LAA
162
Games Played
162
4.10
▲
Runs / Game
4.04
.233
Avg (AVG)
▲
.234
.314
▲
On-Base (OBP)
.310
.379
▲
Slugging (SLG)
.369
.693
▲
OPS
.679
182
▲
Home Runs
154
Key Model Drivers
Home Runs (Season)
+15.4% more
Seattle: 182.0
vs
Los Angeles: 154.0
Runs per Game (Season)
+1.5% more
Seattle: 4.1
vs
Los Angeles: 4.0
OPS (Season)
+1.4%
Seattle: 69.3%
vs
Los Angeles: 67.9%
Slugging Pct (Season)
+1.0%
Seattle: 37.9%
vs
Los Angeles: 36.9%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
SEA Score
4.4
4
LAA Score
3.4
5
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.9 / 0.1
0.0 / 0.0
Hits
8.7 / 7.5
8.0 / 8.0
Home Runs
1.2 / 0.9
1.0 / 0.0
Strikeouts
7.8 / 8.4
5.0 / 7.0
Total Bases
15.0 / 11.4
12.0 / 11.0
Walks
5.1 / 3.0
3.0 / 1.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SEA
Advantage
76-86-0
(46.9%)
Margin: -0.4
ATS +/-:
LAA
62-100-0
(38.3%)
Margin: -0.6
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SEA
(37.0%)
Margin: -0.4
ATS +/-:
LAA
Advantage
(50.6%)
Margin: -0.6
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
SEA
86-68-8
O: 55.8% / U: 44.2%
Total +/-: +0.7
LAA
71-88-3
O: 44.7% / U: 55.4%
Total +/-: +0.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LAA
SEA
LAA
SEA
ML
59%
96-66
50%
81-81
55%
89-73
52%
85-77
ATS
60%
97-65
60%
98-64
51%
82-80
59%
95-67
TTL
53%
83-74-5
56%
85-67-10
52%
82-75-5
53%
81-71-10
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