Home / MLB Projections MLB / Braves @ Giants ATL @ SF

ATLANTA

BRAVESATL

27-34  |  Road

4
FINAL
Fri, Jun 6 • 10:15 PM ET
Oracle Park
View Odds Details →

SAN FRANCISCO

GIANTSSF

35-28  |  Home

5
Probable Pitchers
Dylan Lee
STARTING PITCHER

Dylan Lee

#52 | Relief Pitcher
@
Camilo Doval
STARTING PITCHER

Camilo Doval

#57 | Relief Pitcher
Player W-L ERA WHIP IP K
Dylan Lee None-None 2.25 -- 1.2 2
Camilo Doval None-None 1.55 -- 1.0 3
None-None W-L None-None
2.25 ERA Ldr 1.55
-- WHIP --
1.2 Ldr IP (Innings Pitched) 1.0
2 K (Strikeouts) Ldr 3
AI Model Win Probability
BRAVES
0%
📊
GIANTS
100%
BRAVES --
GIANTS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
7.1
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
ATLANTA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Atlanta)
BravesATL (-3.5) 0 GiantsSF (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Braves Cover

59.7%

Giants Cover

40.3%

-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around ATL -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (ATL)

ATL By 1-2 runs

19.6%

ATL By 3-4 runs

16.3%

SF By 1-2 runs

16.4%

SF By 3-4 runs

10.7%

AI Model Projected Score
4.02
ATLANTA
3.04
SAN FRANCISCO
Simulated Score
4
ATLANTA
3
SAN FRANCISCO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Braves Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Braves Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Braves (-0) Loss
Proj Runs: -1.0
D
Sim Braves (-0) Loss
Proj Runs: -1.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 7.1
D
Sim u0.0
Proj Total: 7.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Aug 31, 2026 SF @ ATL 7 - 3
Jun 28, 2026 ATL @ SF 2 - 3
Jun 27, 2026 ATL @ SF 0 - 5
Jun 26, 2026 ATL @ SF 3 - 1
Jun 17, 2026 SF @ ATL 7 - 5
Season Statistics Comparison
Atlanta ATL
vs
San Francisco SF
1
Games Played
▲ 162
5.00 ▲
Runs / Game
4.13
.233
Avg (AVG)
▲ .245
.324 ▲
On-Base (OBP)
.306
.433 ▲
Slugging (SLG)
.400
.757 ▲
OPS
.706
1
Home Runs
▲ 178
Key Model Drivers
Home Runs (L5) +65.5% more
Atlanta: 1.5 vs San Francisco: 0.5
Walks (L5) +49.9% more
Atlanta: 4.9 vs San Francisco: 2.4
Total Bases (L5) +28.3% more
Atlanta: 14.6 vs San Francisco: 10.5
Runs per Game (Season) +17.4% more
Atlanta: 5.0 vs San Francisco: 4.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
ATL Score 4.0 4
SF Score 3.0 5
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors 0.4 / 0.4 1.0 / 2.0
Hits 6.9 / 8.2 8.0 / 6.0
Home Runs 0.5 / 1.5 0.0 / 1.0
Strikeouts 9.4 / 9.5 10.0 / 7.0
Total Bases 10.5 / 14.6 9.0 / 9.0
Walks 2.4 / 4.9 7.0 / 3.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
60%TICKETS40%
65%MONEY35%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
29%TICKETS71%
53%MONEY47%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
53%TICKETS47%
43%MONEY57%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
ATL Advantage
97-72-0 (57.4%)
Margin: 0.7 ATS +/-:
SF
65-97-0 (40.1%)
Margin: -0.6 ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
ATL Advantage
(52.1%)
Margin: 0.7 ATS +/-:
SF
(51.2%)
Margin: -0.6 ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
ATL
76-83-10
O: 47.8% / U: 52.2% Total +/-: 0.0
SF
76-73-13
O: 51.0% / U: 49.0% Total +/-: +0.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SF
ATL
SF
ATL
ML
49% 79-81
46% 77-90
53% 85-75
54% 90-78
ATS
62% 100-60
57% 96-71
52% 83-77
52% 87-81
TTL
55% 82-68-10
53% 83-73-11
46% 68-81-11
49% 76-80-11
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
Yankees and Braves Urged to Cut Ties with Underperforming Stars …
si 0 minutes ago
Dodgers Outlast Braves in NLDS Game 4, Inch Closer to Three-Peat
hawaiitribune_herald 12 hours, 4 minutes ago
Dodgers Embrace 'Dinosaur' Label While Trolling Padres After NLD…
headtopics 18 hours, 8 minutes ago
Walt Weiss Reveals Why Ronald Acuña Jr. Was DH in Game 3
yahoo 1 day, 17 hours ago
Shohei Ohtani's Slump Raises Concerns for Dodgers in NLDS
usatoday 2 days, 12 hours ago