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MINNESOTA

TWINSMIN

34-27  |  Road

3
FINAL
Thu, Jun 5 • 3:35 PM ET
Sutter Health Park
View Odds Details →

ATHLETICS

ATHLETICSATH

23-40  |  Home

14
Probable Pitchers
Kody Funderburk
STARTING PITCHER

Kody Funderburk

#57 | Relief Pitcher
@
Tyler Soderstrom
STARTING PITCHER

Tyler Soderstrom

#21 | Left Field
Player W-L ERA WHIP IP K
Kody Funderburk None-None 7.50 -- 2.0 1
Tyler Soderstrom None-None -- -- -- --
None-None W-L None-None
7.50 ERA --
-- WHIP --
2.0 IP (Innings Pitched) --
1 K (Strikeouts) --
AI Model Win Probability
TWINS
0%
📊
ATHLETICS
100%
TWINS --
ATHLETICS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
7.8
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-3.0
MINNESOTA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +3.0 points (Minnesota)
TwinsMIN (-3.5) 0 AthleticsATH (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Twins Cover

77.6%

Athletics Cover

22.4%

-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around MIN -3.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MIN)

MIN By 1-2 runs

18.4%

MIN By 3-4 runs

19.6%

ATH By 1-2 runs

10.5%

ATH By 3-4 runs

5.4%

AI Model Projected Score
5.42
MINNESOTA
2.39
ATHLETICS
Simulated Score
5
MINNESOTA
3
ATHLETICS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Twins Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Twins Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Twins (-0) Loss
Proj Runs: -3.0
D
Sim Twins (-0) Loss
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 7.8
D
Sim u0.0
Proj Total: 8.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Aug 26, 2026 MIN @ ATH 4 - 7
Aug 25, 2026 MIN @ ATH 2 - 4
Aug 24, 2026 MIN @ ATH 9 - 6
Jul 26, 2026 ATH @ MIN 8 - 11
Jul 25, 2026 ATH @ MIN 0 - 2
Season Statistics Comparison
Minnesota MIN
vs
Athletics ATH
162
Games Played
162
4.56 ▲
Runs / Game
4.31
.245
Avg (AVG)
.245
.317
On-Base (OBP)
.317
.403 ▲
Slugging (SLG)
.402
.720 ▲
OPS
.719
187
Home Runs
▲ 194
Key Model Drivers
Home Runs (L5) +69.3% more
Minnesota: 1.6 vs Athletics: 0.5
Total Bases (L5) +30.0% more
Minnesota: 16.2 vs Athletics: 11.4
Hits (L5) +28.4% more
Minnesota: 9.9 vs Athletics: 7.1
Strikeouts (L5) +24.6% more
Minnesota: 11.0 vs Athletics: 8.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
MIN Score 5.4 3
ATH Score 2.4 14
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors 0.8 / 0.2 1.0 / 0.0
Hits 7.1 / 9.9 17.0 / 5.0
Home Runs 0.5 / 1.6 4.0 / 1.0
Strikeouts 8.3 / 11.0 7.0 / 9.0
Total Bases 11.4 / 16.2 32.0 / 9.0
Walks 4.2 / 3.7 5.0 / 6.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
84%TICKETS16%
77%MONEY23%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
71%TICKETS29%
74%MONEY26%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
46%TICKETS54%
77%MONEY23%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MIN Advantage
77-85-0 (47.5%)
Margin: -0.4 ATS +/-:
ATH
64-98-0 (39.5%)
Margin: -1.5 ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MIN Advantage
(51.8%)
Margin: -0.4 ATS +/-:
ATH
(47.5%)
Margin: -1.5 ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
MIN
88-64-10
O: 57.9% / U: 42.1% Total +/-: +1.0
ATH
84-73-5
O: 53.5% / U: 46.5% Total +/-: +0.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
ATH
MIN
ATH
MIN
ML
59% 95-67
52% 84-78
54% 87-74
50% 80-81
ATS
52% 84-78
59% 95-67
50% 81-80
59% 95-66
TTL
54% 84-73-5
51% 78-75-9
42% 66-90-5
53% 80-72-9
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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