Home / MLB Projections MLB / Mets @ Dodgers NYM @ LAD

NEW YORK

METSNYM

39-23  |  Road

5
FINAL
Thu, Jun 5 • 4:10 PM ET
Dodger Stadium
View Odds Details →

LOS ANGELES

DODGERSLAD

37-25  |  Home

6
Probable Pitchers
Jared Young
STARTING PITCHER

Jared Young

#29 | First Base
@
Tanner Scott
STARTING PITCHER

Tanner Scott

#66 | Relief Pitcher
Player W-L ERA WHIP IP K
Jared Young None-None -- -- -- --
Tanner Scott None-None 4.40 -- 1.0 2
None-None W-L None-None
-- ERA 4.40
-- WHIP --
-- IP (Innings Pitched) 1.0
-- K (Strikeouts) 2
AI Model Win Probability
METS
0%
📊
DODGERS
100%
METS --
DODGERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
10.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
NEW YORK
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (New York)
MetsNYM (-3.5) 0 DodgersLAD (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Mets Cover

60.0%

Dodgers Cover

40.0%

-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around NYM -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NYM)

NYM By 1-2 runs

19.6%

NYM By 3-4 runs

16.3%

LAD By 1-2 runs

16.3%

LAD By 3-4 runs

10.6%

AI Model Projected Score
5.5
NEW YORK
4.49
LOS ANGELES
Simulated Score
3
NEW YORK
5
LOS ANGELES
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Mets Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Dodgers Win
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI Mets (-0) Loss
Proj Runs: -1.0
D
Sim Dodgers (+0) Win
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 10.0
D
Sim u0.0
Proj Total: 8.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Jul 26, 2026 LAD @ NYM 3 - 8
Jul 25, 2026 LAD @ NYM 4 - 3
Jul 24, 2026 LAD @ NYM 4 - 2
Apr 15, 2026 NYM @ LAD 2 - 8
Apr 14, 2026 NYM @ LAD 1 - 2
Season Statistics Comparison
New York NYM
vs
Los Angeles LAD
162
Games Played
162
4.31
Runs / Game
▲ 4.94
.239
Avg (AVG)
▲ .257
.310
On-Base (OBP)
▲ .338
.395
Slugging (SLG)
▲ .424
.705
OPS
▲ .762
204
Home Runs
204
Key Model Drivers
Strikeouts (L5) +23.9% more
New York: 10.0 vs Los Angeles: 7.6
Walks (L5) +48.6% more
Los Angeles: 3.9 vs New York: 2.6
Errors (L5) +27.0% more
Los Angeles: 0.7 vs New York: 0.4
Hits (L5) +23.6% more
Los Angeles: 8.1 vs New York: 6.6
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
NYM Score 5.5 5
LAD Score 4.5 6
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors 0.7 / 0.4 0.0 / 1.0
Hits 8.1 / 6.6 9.0 / 11.0
Home Runs 1.7 / 1.8 0.0 / 3.0
Strikeouts 7.6 / 10.0 7.0 / 7.0
Total Bases 15.0 / 13.2 11.0 / 21.0
Walks 3.9 / 2.6 7.0 / 4.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
38%TICKETS62%
43%MONEY57%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
61%TICKETS39%
46%MONEY54%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
46%TICKETS54%
61%MONEY39%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
NYM
74-88-0 (45.7%)
Margin: -0.2 ATS +/-:
LAD Advantage
103-63-0 (62.1%)
Margin: 1.2 ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
NYM Advantage
(46.3%)
Margin: -0.2 ATS +/-:
LAD
(43.4%)
Margin: 1.2 ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
NYM
77-73-12
O: 51.3% / U: 48.7% Total +/-: +0.7
LAD
72-89-5
O: 44.7% / U: 55.3% Total +/-: 0.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LAD
NYM
LAD
NYM
ML
56% 92-73
50% 79-80
48% 79-87
48% 76-83
ATS
59% 98-67
58% 93-66
43% 72-94
49% 78-81
TTL
48% 77-82-6
55% 80-66-13
44% 70-90-6
51% 74-72-13
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
Yankees and Braves Urged to Cut Ties with Underperforming Stars …
si 50 minutes ago
Jeimer Candelario Opts for Free Agency After Brief Angels Stint
si 1 hour ago
Jazz Chisholm Jr. Shrugs Off Yankee Stadium Boos: 'It Didn't Hur…
yahoo 6 hours, 39 minutes ago
Yankees' Offseason Blueprint: Securing Bednar and Blackburn Key …
yahoo 6 hours, 49 minutes ago
Brewers vs. Dodgers NLCS Tickets: Prices, Schedule, and How to A…
sportingnews 6 hours, 50 minutes ago