FLORIDA
PANTHERSFLA
0-0-0 | Road
3
EDMONTON
OILERSEDM
0-0-0 | Home
4
AI Model Win Probability
PANTHERS
100%
OILERS
0%
PANTHERS
--
OILERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
8.6
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.4
EDMONTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.4 points (Edmonton)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around EDM -0.4 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (EDM)
FLA By 1 goal
15.4%
FLA By 2-3 goals
14.3%
EDM By 1 goal
19.0%
EDM By 2-3 goals
23.4%
AI Model Projected Score
Florida
4.07
FLORIDA
Edmonton
4.5
EDMONTON
Simulated Score
Florida
2
FLORIDA
Edmonton
4
EDMONTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Oilers
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Oilers
Win
50% Win Prob
A
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Oilers (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -0.4
D
Sim
Oilers (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -2.0
A
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 8.6
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 6.0
A
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 19, 2026
FLA @ EDM
4 - 0
Nov 22, 2025
EDM @ FLA
6 - 3
Jun 17, 2025
EDM @ FLA
1 - 5
Jun 14, 2025
FLA @ EDM
5 - 2
Jun 12, 2025
EDM @ FLA
5 - 4
Key Model Drivers
Takeaways (L5)
+31.8% more
Edmonton: 5.2
vs
Florida: 4.0
Blocked Shots (L5)
+29.3% more
Edmonton: 18.7
vs
Florida: 14.5
Power Play % (L5)
+18.6%
Edmonton: 42.5%
vs
Florida: 23.9%
Shots on Goal (L5)
+10.6% more
Edmonton: 26.9
vs
Florida: 24.4
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
FLA Score
4.1
3
EDM Score
4.5
4
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
18.7 / 14.5
21.0 / 19.0
Faceoff %
47.3 / 46.2
43.6 / 56.4
Hits
45.2 / 45.1
51.0 / 51.0
Power Play %
42.5 / 23.9
25.0 / 50.0
Shots on Goal
26.9 / 24.4
46.0 / 32.0
Takeaways
5.2 / 4.0
5.0 / 8.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
EDM
FLA
EDM
FLA
ML
75%
3-1
0%
0-4
50%
2-2
0%
0-4
ATS
75%
3-1
25%
1-3
25%
1-3
50%
2-2
TTL
25%
1-3
25%
1-3
25%
1-3
0%
0-4
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