MILWAUKEE
BREWERSMIL
33-29 | Road
9
CINCINNATI
REDSCIN
30-32 | Home
1
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Brice Turang
#2 | Second Base@
STARTING PITCHER
Andrew Abbott
#41 | Starting Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brice Turang | None-None | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| Andrew Abbott | None-None | 2.18 | -- | 6.0 | 6 |
None-None
W-L
None-None
--
ERA
2.18
--
WHIP
--
--
IP (Innings Pitched)
6.0
--
K (Strikeouts)
6
AI Model Win Probability
BREWERS
0%
REDS
100%
BREWERS
--
REDS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
8.7
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.9
MILWAUKEE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.9 points (Milwaukee)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around MIL -0.9 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MIL)
MIL By 1-2 runs
19.5%
MIL By 3-4 runs
16.0%
CIN By 1-2 runs
16.6%
CIN By 3-4 runs
11.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Milwaukee
4.8
MILWAUKEE
Cincinnati
3.93
CINCINNATI
Simulated Score
Milwaukee
3
MILWAUKEE
Cincinnati
5
CINCINNATI
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Brewers
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Reds
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Brewers (-0)
Win
Proj Runs: -0.9
D
Sim
Reds (+0)
Loss
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 8.7
D
Sim
u0.0
Proj Total: 8.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Sep 13, 2026
CIN @ MIL
4 - 3
Sep 12, 2026
CIN @ MIL
9 - 13
Sep 11, 2026
CIN @ MIL
0 - 20
Sep 6, 2026
MIL @ CIN
8 - 12
Sep 5, 2026
MIL @ CIN
3 - 5
Season Statistics Comparison
Milwaukee
MIL
vs
Cincinnati
CIN
162
Games Played
162
5.14
▲
Runs / Game
4.11
.258
▲
Avg (AVG)
.229
.341
▲
On-Base (OBP)
.305
.403
▲
Slugging (SLG)
.394
.743
▲
OPS
.699
154
Home Runs
▲
213
Key Model Drivers
Runs per Game (Season)
+20.0% more
Milwaukee: 5.1
vs
Cincinnati: 4.1
Strikeouts (L5)
+15.4% more
Milwaukee: 9.0
vs
Cincinnati: 7.6
Hits (L5)
+13.2% more
Milwaukee: 8.2
vs
Cincinnati: 7.1
Total Bases (L5)
+9.4% more
Milwaukee: 13.4
vs
Cincinnati: 12.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
MIL Score
4.8
9
CIN Score
3.9
1
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.6 / 0.3
1.0 / 0.0
Hits
7.1 / 8.2
4.0 / 13.0
Home Runs
1.1 / 1.1
0.0 / 3.0
Strikeouts
7.6 / 9.0
7.0 / 7.0
Total Bases
12.1 / 13.4
6.0 / 23.0
Walks
3.1 / 3.3
2.0 / 5.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MIL
Advantage
106-60-0
(63.9%)
Margin: 1.3
ATS +/-:
CIN
75-87-0
(46.3%)
Margin: -1.0
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MIL
Advantage
(52.4%)
Margin: 1.3
ATS +/-:
CIN
(50.6%)
Margin: -1.0
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
MIL
73-88-5
O: 45.3% / U: 54.7%
Total +/-: +0.8
CIN
84-74-4
O: 53.2% / U: 46.8%
Total +/-: +0.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CIN
MIL
CIN
MIL
ML
55%
88-71
62%
101-61
49%
79-81
52%
84-78
ATS
54%
86-73
58%
94-68
50%
80-80
48%
78-84
TTL
53%
81-73-5
40%
62-92-8
54%
83-72-5
50%
77-77-8
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