LOS ANGELES
ANGELSLAA
28-32 | Road
9
BOSTON
RED SOXBOS
29-34 | Home
11
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Sam Aldegheri
#61 | Starting Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Greg Weissert
#57 | Relief Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Aldegheri | None-None | 0.00 | -- | 2.1 | 2 |
| Greg Weissert | None-None | 2.93 | -- | 0.1 | -- |
None-None
W-L
None-None
0.00 Ldr
ERA
2.93
--
WHIP
--
2.1 Ldr
IP (Innings Pitched)
0.1
2 Ldr
K (Strikeouts)
--
AI Model Win Probability
ANGELS
0%
RED SOX
100%
ANGELS
--
RED SOX
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
7.7
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.7
LOS ANGELES
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.7 points (Los Angeles)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around LAA -0.7 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LAA)
LAA By 1-2 runs
19.4%
LAA By 3-4 runs
15.6%
BOS By 1-2 runs
17.0%
BOS By 3-4 runs
11.4%
AI Model Projected Score
Los Angeles
4.22
LOS ANGELES
Boston
3.5
BOSTON
Simulated Score
Los Angeles
4
LOS ANGELES
Boston
5
BOSTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Angels
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Red Sox
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Angels (-0)
Loss
Proj Runs: -0.7
D
Sim
Red Sox (+0)
Win
Proj Runs: -1.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 7.7
D
Sim
u0.0
Proj Total: 9.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Sep 9, 2026
LAA @ BOS
6 - 4
Sep 8, 2026
LAA @ BOS
6 - 1
Sep 7, 2026
LAA @ BOS
2 - 5
Jul 5, 2026
BOS @ LAA
7 - 5
Jul 4, 2026
BOS @ LAA
8 - 1
Season Statistics Comparison
Los Angeles
LAA
vs
Boston
BOS
162
▲
Games Played
2
4.04
▲
Runs / Game
1.00
.234
▲
Avg (AVG)
.117
.310
▲
On-Base (OBP)
.159
.369
▲
Slugging (SLG)
.250
.679
▲
OPS
.409
154
▲
Home Runs
2
Key Model Drivers
Home Runs (Season)
+98.7% more
Los Angeles: 154.0
vs
Boston: 2.0
Runs per Game (Season)
+75.2% more
Los Angeles: 4.0
vs
Boston: 1.0
Home Runs (L5)
+43.3% more
Los Angeles: 1.3
vs
Boston: 0.8
Walks (L5)
+39.8% more
Los Angeles: 5.1
vs
Boston: 3.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
LAA Score
4.2
9
BOS Score
3.5
11
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
2.1 / 0.4
1.0 / 2.0
Hits
9.2 / 7.0
12.0 / 12.0
Home Runs
0.8 / 1.3
1.0 / 1.0
Strikeouts
7.6 / 8.7
8.0 / 6.0
Total Bases
14.5 / 11.5
16.0 / 22.0
Walks
3.1 / 5.1
4.0 / 5.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LAA
62-100-0
(38.3%)
Margin: -0.6
ATS +/-:
BOS
Advantage
87-77-0
(53.1%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LAA
Advantage
(50.6%)
Margin: -0.6
ATS +/-:
BOS
(46.3%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
LAA
71-88-3
O: 44.7% / U: 55.4%
Total +/-: +0.3
BOS
74-86-4
O: 46.3% / U: 53.8%
Total +/-: 0.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
BOS
LAA
BOS
LAA
ML
50%
80-80
59%
96-66
47%
76-87
55%
89-73
ATS
58%
93-67
60%
97-65
48%
79-84
51%
82-80
TTL
46%
72-83-5
53%
83-74-5
47%
74-83-6
52%
82-75-5
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