MINNESOTA
TWINSMIN
33-27 | Road
6
ATHLETICS
ATHLETICSATH
23-39 | Home
1
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Zebby Matthews
#52 | Starting Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Hogan Harris
#36 | Relief Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zebby Matthews | None-None | 5.21 | -- | 5.0 | 4 |
| Hogan Harris | None-None | 3.74 | -- | 1.1 | 1 |
None-None
W-L
None-None
5.21
ERA
Ldr 3.74
--
WHIP
--
5.0 Ldr
IP (Innings Pitched)
1.1
4 Ldr
K (Strikeouts)
1
AI Model Win Probability
TWINS
0%
ATHLETICS
100%
TWINS
--
ATHLETICS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
7.7
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.7
MINNESOTA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.7 points (Minnesota)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around MIN -2.7 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MIN)
MIN By 1-2 runs
18.9%
MIN By 3-4 runs
19.3%
ATH By 1-2 runs
11.6%
ATH By 3-4 runs
6.2%
AI Model Projected Score
Minnesota
5.2
MINNESOTA
Athletics
2.54
ATHLETICS
Simulated Score
Minnesota
5
MINNESOTA
Athletics
3
ATHLETICS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Twins
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Twins
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Twins (-0)
Win
Proj Runs: -2.7
D
Sim
Twins (-0)
Win
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 7.7
D
Sim
u0.0
Proj Total: 8.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Aug 26, 2026
MIN @ ATH
4 - 7
Aug 25, 2026
MIN @ ATH
2 - 4
Aug 24, 2026
MIN @ ATH
9 - 6
Jul 26, 2026
ATH @ MIN
8 - 11
Jul 25, 2026
ATH @ MIN
0 - 2
Season Statistics Comparison
Minnesota
MIN
vs
Athletics
ATH
162
Games Played
162
4.56
▲
Runs / Game
4.31
.245
Avg (AVG)
.245
.317
On-Base (OBP)
.317
.403
▲
Slugging (SLG)
.402
.720
▲
OPS
.719
187
Home Runs
▲
194
Key Model Drivers
Home Runs (L5)
+49.0% more
Minnesota: 1.5
vs
Athletics: 0.7
Hits (L5)
+25.1% more
Minnesota: 10.9
vs
Athletics: 8.2
Total Bases (L5)
+22.0% more
Minnesota: 17.4
vs
Athletics: 13.5
Strikeouts (L5)
+16.3% more
Minnesota: 9.4
vs
Athletics: 7.9
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
MIN Score
5.2
6
ATH Score
2.5
1
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.7 / 0.3
1.0 / 0.0
Hits
8.2 / 10.9
5.0 / 8.0
Home Runs
0.7 / 1.5
0.0 / 2.0
Strikeouts
7.9 / 9.4
9.0 / 14.0
Total Bases
13.5 / 17.4
7.0 / 14.0
Walks
4.4 / 3.5
4.0 / 4.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MIN
Advantage
77-85-0
(47.5%)
Margin: -0.4
ATS +/-:
ATH
64-98-0
(39.5%)
Margin: -1.5
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MIN
Advantage
(51.8%)
Margin: -0.4
ATS +/-:
ATH
(47.5%)
Margin: -1.5
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
MIN
88-64-10
O: 57.9% / U: 42.1%
Total +/-: +1.0
ATH
84-73-5
O: 53.5% / U: 46.5%
Total +/-: +0.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
ATH
MIN
ATH
MIN
ML
59%
95-67
52%
84-78
54%
87-74
50%
80-81
ATS
52%
84-78
59%
95-67
50%
81-80
59%
95-66
TTL
54%
84-73-5
51%
78-75-9
42%
66-90-5
53%
80-72-9
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