CLEVELAND
GUARDIANSCLE
32-26 | Road
2
NEW YORK
YANKEESNYY
36-22 | Home
3
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Tanner Bibee
#28 | Starting Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Carlos Rodon
#55 | Starting Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tanner Bibee | None-None | 3.89 | -- | 6.1 | 6 |
| Carlos Rodon | None-None | 2.49 | -- | 7.0 | 8 |
None-None
W-L
None-None
3.89
ERA
Ldr 2.49
--
WHIP
--
6.1
IP (Innings Pitched)
Ldr 7.0
6
K (Strikeouts)
Ldr 8
AI Model Win Probability
GUARDIANS
100%
YANKEES
0%
GUARDIANS
--
YANKEES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
10.1
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.4
NEW YORK
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.4 points (New York)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around NYY -1.4 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NYY)
CLE By 1-2 runs
15.2%
CLE By 3-4 runs
9.4%
NYY By 1-2 runs
19.7%
NYY By 3-4 runs
17.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Cleveland
4.34
CLEVELAND
New York
5.75
NEW YORK
Simulated Score
Cleveland
3
CLEVELAND
New York
5
NEW YORK
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Yankees
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Yankees
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Yankees (+0)
Win
Proj Runs: -1.4
D
Sim
Yankees (+0)
Win
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 10.1
D
Sim
u0.0
Proj Total: 8.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jun 10, 2026
NYY @ CLE
8 - 4
Jun 9, 2026
NYY @ CLE
3 - 2
Jun 8, 2026
NYY @ CLE
7 - 5
Jun 4, 2026
CLE @ NYY
1 - 2
Jun 3, 2026
CLE @ NYY
5 - 4
Season Statistics Comparison
Cleveland
CLE
vs
New York
NYY
162
▲
Games Played
1
4.19
Runs / Game
▲
9.00
.239
Avg (AVG)
▲
.375
.316
On-Base (OBP)
▲
.447
.380
Slugging (SLG)
▲
.594
.696
OPS
▲
1.041
162
▲
Home Runs
2
Key Model Drivers
Runs per Game (Season)
+114.8% more
New York: 9.0
vs
Cleveland: 4.2
Home Runs (L5)
+29.8% more
New York: 1.6
vs
Cleveland: 1.2
Slugging Pct (Season)
+21.4%
New York: 59.4%
vs
Cleveland: 38.0%
Total Bases (L5)
+14.3% more
New York: 15.2
vs
Cleveland: 13.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CLE Score
4.3
2
NYY Score
5.8
3
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.2 / 0.9
0.0 / 1.0
Hits
8.8 / 8.1
5.0 / 7.0
Home Runs
1.6 / 1.2
2.0 / 0.0
Strikeouts
8.0 / 9.8
9.0 / 6.0
Total Bases
15.2 / 13.3
11.0 / 8.0
Walks
2.4 / 3.7
2.0 / 3.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CLE
87-79-0
(52.4%)
Margin: 0.1
ATS +/-:
NYY
Advantage
95-71-0
(57.2%)
Margin: 0.9
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CLE
(50.6%)
Margin: 0.1
ATS +/-:
NYY
Advantage
(51.2%)
Margin: 0.9
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
CLE
81-84-1
O: 49.1% / U: 50.9%
Total +/-: +0.5
NYY
79-81-6
O: 49.4% / U: 50.6%
Total +/-: +0.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NYY
CLE
NYY
CLE
ML
47%
76-85
54%
87-75
52%
85-77
49%
80-83
ATS
59%
95-66
57%
93-69
53%
86-76
58%
95-68
TTL
53%
81-73-7
56%
89-71-2
53%
82-72-7
44%
70-90-2
Contextual Game News
Guardians Storm Back in Game 4, Force Game 5 Against White Sox
Guardians Outslug White Sox in Game 4 to Force Decisive ALDS Gam…
White Sox Collapse in Game 4 Sets Up Winner-Take-All Game 5
Jose Ramirez Ignites Guardians' Comeback, Forces Game 5 vs. Whit…
CC Sabathia's Divided Playoff Heart: Brewers Advance, Yankees Ex…