MILWAUKEE
BREWERSMIL
33-28 | Road
2
CINCINNATI
REDSCIN
29-32 | Home
4
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Grant Anderson
#56 | Relief Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Emilio Pagan
#15 | Relief Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grant Anderson | None-None | 2.93 | -- | 1.1 | 1 |
| Emilio Pagan | None-None | 3.71 | -- | 1.0 | 1 |
None-None
W-L
None-None
2.93 Ldr
ERA
3.71
--
WHIP
--
1.1 Ldr
IP (Innings Pitched)
1.0
1
K (Strikeouts)
1
AI Model Win Probability
BREWERS
0%
REDS
100%
BREWERS
--
REDS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
9.1
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.5
MILWAUKEE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.5 points (Milwaukee)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around MIL -1.5 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MIL)
MIL By 1-2 runs
19.7%
MIL By 3-4 runs
17.4%
CIN By 1-2 runs
15.0%
CIN By 3-4 runs
9.2%
AI Model Projected Score
Milwaukee
5.27
MILWAUKEE
Cincinnati
3.79
CINCINNATI
Simulated Score
Milwaukee
3
MILWAUKEE
Cincinnati
5
CINCINNATI
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Brewers
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Reds
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Brewers (-0)
Loss
Proj Runs: -1.5
D
Sim
Reds (+0)
Win
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 9.1
D
Sim
u0.0
Proj Total: 8.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Sep 13, 2026
CIN @ MIL
4 - 3
Sep 12, 2026
CIN @ MIL
9 - 13
Sep 11, 2026
CIN @ MIL
0 - 20
Sep 6, 2026
MIL @ CIN
8 - 12
Sep 5, 2026
MIL @ CIN
3 - 5
Season Statistics Comparison
Milwaukee
MIL
vs
Cincinnati
CIN
162
Games Played
162
5.14
▲
Runs / Game
4.11
.258
▲
Avg (AVG)
.229
.341
▲
On-Base (OBP)
.305
.403
▲
Slugging (SLG)
.394
.743
▲
OPS
.699
154
Home Runs
▲
213
Key Model Drivers
Home Runs (L5)
+39.1% more
Milwaukee: 1.2
vs
Cincinnati: 0.7
Total Bases (L5)
+37.9% more
Milwaukee: 15.5
vs
Cincinnati: 9.7
Hits (L5)
+31.7% more
Milwaukee: 9.8
vs
Cincinnati: 6.7
Runs per Game (Season)
+20.0% more
Milwaukee: 5.1
vs
Cincinnati: 4.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
MIL Score
5.3
2
CIN Score
3.8
4
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.5 / 0.4
1.0 / 0.0
Hits
6.7 / 9.8
8.0 / 5.0
Home Runs
0.7 / 1.2
2.0 / 1.0
Strikeouts
6.9 / 8.4
9.0 / 10.0
Total Bases
9.7 / 15.5
17.0 / 9.0
Walks
3.2 / 2.5
3.0 / 5.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MIL
Advantage
106-60-0
(63.9%)
Margin: 1.3
ATS +/-:
CIN
75-87-0
(46.3%)
Margin: -1.0
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MIL
Advantage
(52.4%)
Margin: 1.3
ATS +/-:
CIN
(50.6%)
Margin: -1.0
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
MIL
73-88-5
O: 45.3% / U: 54.7%
Total +/-: +0.8
CIN
84-74-4
O: 53.2% / U: 46.8%
Total +/-: +0.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CIN
MIL
CIN
MIL
ML
55%
88-71
62%
101-61
49%
79-81
52%
84-78
ATS
54%
86-73
58%
94-68
50%
80-80
48%
78-84
TTL
53%
81-73-5
40%
62-92-8
54%
83-72-5
50%
77-77-8
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