LOS ANGELES
ANGELSLAA
27-32 | Road
4
BOSTON
RED SOXBOS
29-33 | Home
3
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Reid Detmers
#48 | Starting Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Aroldis Chapman
#44 | Relief Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reid Detmers | None-None | 6.04 | -- | 1.0 | 2 |
| Aroldis Chapman | None-None | 1.80 | -- | 1.0 | 1 |
None-None
W-L
None-None
6.04
ERA
Ldr 1.80
--
WHIP
--
1.0
IP (Innings Pitched)
1.0
2 Ldr
K (Strikeouts)
1
AI Model Win Probability
ANGELS
100%
RED SOX
0%
ANGELS
--
RED SOX
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
8.4
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
0.0
BOSTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around BOS 0.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (BOS)
LAA By 1-2 runs
18.4%
LAA By 3-4 runs
13.5%
BOS By 1-2 runs
18.5%
BOS By 3-4 runs
13.7%
AI Model Projected Score
Los Angeles
4.19
LOS ANGELES
Boston
4.23
BOSTON
Simulated Score
Los Angeles
3
LOS ANGELES
Boston
5
BOSTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Red Sox
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Red Sox
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Red Sox (+0)
Loss
Proj Runs: 0.0
D
Sim
Red Sox (+0)
Loss
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 8.4
D
Sim
u0.0
Proj Total: 8.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Sep 9, 2026
LAA @ BOS
6 - 4
Sep 8, 2026
LAA @ BOS
6 - 1
Sep 7, 2026
LAA @ BOS
2 - 5
Jul 5, 2026
BOS @ LAA
7 - 5
Jul 4, 2026
BOS @ LAA
8 - 1
Season Statistics Comparison
Los Angeles
LAA
vs
Boston
BOS
162
▲
Games Played
2
4.04
▲
Runs / Game
1.00
.234
▲
Avg (AVG)
.117
.310
▲
On-Base (OBP)
.159
.369
▲
Slugging (SLG)
.250
.679
▲
OPS
.409
154
▲
Home Runs
2
Key Model Drivers
Errors (L5)
+55.0% more
Boston: 1.2
vs
Los Angeles: 0.6
Hits (L5)
+23.7% more
Boston: 8.7
vs
Los Angeles: 7.1
Home Runs (Season)
+98.7% more
Los Angeles: 154.0
vs
Boston: 2.0
Runs per Game (Season)
+75.2% more
Los Angeles: 4.0
vs
Boston: 1.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
LAA Score
4.2
4
BOS Score
4.2
3
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
1.2 / 0.6
4.0 / 0.0
Hits
8.7 / 7.1
10.0 / 7.0
Home Runs
0.6 / 2.0
1.0 / 0.0
Strikeouts
8.4 / 8.1
6.0 / 10.0
Total Bases
13.2 / 13.7
17.0 / 7.0
Walks
3.1 / 4.2
3.0 / 7.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LAA
62-100-0
(38.3%)
Margin: -0.6
ATS +/-:
BOS
Advantage
87-77-0
(53.1%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LAA
Advantage
(50.6%)
Margin: -0.6
ATS +/-:
BOS
(46.3%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
LAA
71-88-3
O: 44.7% / U: 55.4%
Total +/-: +0.3
BOS
74-86-4
O: 46.3% / U: 53.8%
Total +/-: 0.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
BOS
LAA
BOS
LAA
ML
50%
80-80
59%
96-66
47%
76-87
55%
89-73
ATS
58%
93-67
60%
97-65
48%
79-84
51%
82-80
TTL
46%
72-83-5
53%
83-74-5
47%
74-83-6
52%
82-75-5
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