Home / MLB Projections MLB / Twins @ Athletics MIN @ ATH

MINNESOTA

TWINSMIN

32-27  |  Road

10
FINAL
Tue, Jun 3 • 10:05 PM ET
Sutter Health Park
View Odds Details →

ATHLETICS

ATHLETICSATH

23-38  |  Home

3
Probable Pitchers
Royce Lewis
STARTING PITCHER

Royce Lewis

#23 | First Base
@
Elvis Alvarado
STARTING PITCHER

Elvis Alvarado

#37 | Relief Pitcher
Player W-L ERA WHIP IP K
Royce Lewis None-None -- -- -- --
Elvis Alvarado None-None 7.50 -- 2.0 3
None-None W-L None-None
-- ERA 7.50
-- WHIP --
-- IP (Innings Pitched) 2.0
-- K (Strikeouts) 3
AI Model Win Probability
TWINS
0%
📊
ATHLETICS
100%
TWINS --
ATHLETICS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
7.8
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.2
MINNESOTA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.2 points (Minnesota)
TwinsMIN (-3.5) 0 AthleticsATH (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Twins Cover

71.0%

Athletics Cover

29.0%

-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around MIN -2.2 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MIN)

MIN By 1-2 runs

19.4%

MIN By 3-4 runs

18.8%

ATH By 1-2 runs

13.0%

ATH By 3-4 runs

7.3%

AI Model Projected Score
5.02
MINNESOTA
2.81
ATHLETICS
Simulated Score
4
MINNESOTA
2
ATHLETICS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Twins Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Twins Win
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Twins (-0) Win
Proj Runs: -2.2
D
Sim Twins (-0) Win
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 7.8
D
Sim u0.0
Proj Total: 6.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Aug 26, 2026 MIN @ ATH 4 - 7
Aug 25, 2026 MIN @ ATH 2 - 4
Aug 24, 2026 MIN @ ATH 9 - 6
Jul 26, 2026 ATH @ MIN 8 - 11
Jul 25, 2026 ATH @ MIN 0 - 2
Season Statistics Comparison
Minnesota MIN
vs
Athletics ATH
162
Games Played
162
4.56 ▲
Runs / Game
4.31
.245
Avg (AVG)
.245
.317
On-Base (OBP)
.317
.403 ▲
Slugging (SLG)
.402
.720 ▲
OPS
.719
187
Home Runs
▲ 194
Key Model Drivers
Strikeouts (L5) +47.2% more
Minnesota: 9.1 vs Athletics: 4.8
Hits (L5) +15.6% more
Minnesota: 10.4 vs Athletics: 8.8
Runs per Game (Season) +5.5% more
Minnesota: 4.6 vs Athletics: 4.3
Home Runs (L5) +44.0% more
Athletics: 1.1 vs Minnesota: 0.7
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
MIN Score 5.0 10
ATH Score 2.8 3
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors 0.5 / 0.4 1.0 / 0.0
Hits 8.8 / 10.4 7.0 / 12.0
Home Runs 1.1 / 0.7 0.0 / 3.0
Strikeouts 4.8 / 9.1 14.0 / 10.0
Total Bases 13.8 / 14.5 13.0 / 23.0
Walks 4.0 / 3.2 5.0 / 4.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
89%TICKETS11%
82%MONEY18%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
80%TICKETS20%
92%MONEY8%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
47%TICKETS53%
61%MONEY39%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MIN Advantage
77-85-0 (47.5%)
Margin: -0.4 ATS +/-:
ATH
64-98-0 (39.5%)
Margin: -1.5 ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MIN Advantage
(51.8%)
Margin: -0.4 ATS +/-:
ATH
(47.5%)
Margin: -1.5 ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
MIN
88-64-10
O: 57.9% / U: 42.1% Total +/-: +1.0
ATH
84-73-5
O: 53.5% / U: 46.5% Total +/-: +0.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
ATH
MIN
ATH
MIN
ML
59% 95-67
52% 84-78
54% 87-74
50% 80-81
ATS
52% 84-78
59% 95-67
50% 81-80
59% 95-66
TTL
54% 84-73-5
51% 78-75-9
42% 66-90-5
53% 80-72-9
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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