Home / NBA Projections NBA / Thunder @ Clippers OKC @ LAC

OKLAHOMA CITY

THUNDEROKC

5-0  |  Road

105
FINAL
Sat, Nov 2 • 10:30 PM ET
Intuit Dome
View Odds Details →

LA

CLIPPERSLAC

2-3  |  Home

92
AI Model Win Probability
THUNDER
0%
📊
CLIPPERS
100%
THUNDER --
CLIPPERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
219.7
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-3.5
OKLAHOMA CITY
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +3.5 points (Oklahoma City)
ThunderOKC (-3.5) 0 ClippersLAC (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Thunder Cover

63.6%

Clippers Cover

36.4%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around OKC -3.5 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (OKC)

OKC By 1-7 points

27.3%

OKC By 8-14 points

20.9%

LAC By 1-7 points

20.9%

LAC By 8-14 points

10.0%

AI Model Projected Score
111.6
OKLAHOMA CITY
108.11
LA
Simulated Score
118
OKLAHOMA CITY
121
LA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Thunder Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Clippers Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Thunder (-0) Win
Proj Spread: -3.5
D
Sim Clippers (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 219.7
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 239.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Apr 8, 2026 OKC @ LAC 128 - 110
Dec 18, 2025 LAC @ OKC 101 - 122
Nov 4, 2025 OKC @ LAC 126 - 107
Mar 23, 2025 OKC @ LAC 103 - 101
Jan 2, 2025 LAC @ OKC 98 - 116
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +36.0% more
Oklahoma City: 8.3 vs LA: 5.3
Steals (L5) +34.9% more
Oklahoma City: 14.1 vs LA: 9.2
Free Throw % (L5) +3.8%
Oklahoma City: 77.2% vs LA: 73.4%
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +2.2%
Oklahoma City: 36.1% vs LA: 33.9%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
OKC Score 111.6 105
LAC Score 108.1 92
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 33.9 / 36.1 31.4 / 41.0
Assists 26.7 / 27.6 23.0 / 25.0
Blocks 5.3 / 8.3 7.0 / 3.0
Field Goal % 47.5 / 48.5 40.5 / 42.9
Free Throw % 73.4 / 77.2 65.4 / 89.5
Rebounding 47.4 / 44.9 50.0 / 41.0
Steals 9.2 / 14.1 10.0 / 11.0
Turnovers 16.1 / 12.5 22.0 / 12.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
OKC Advantage
75-22-0 (77.3%)
Margin: 10.5 ATS +/-: +0.4
LAC
42-41-0 (50.6%)
Margin: 1.1 ATS +/-: -0.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
OKC
47-50-0 (48.4%)
Margin: 10.5 ATS +/-: +0.4
LAC Advantage
42-41-0 (50.6%)
Margin: 1.1 ATS +/-: -0.4
⚖️ Over/Under
OKC
54-43-0
O: 55.7% / U: 44.3% Total +/-: +0.8
LAC
41-42-0
O: 49.4% / U: 50.6% Total +/-: +2.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LAC
OKC
LAC
OKC
ML
60% 59-40
70% 80-34
55% 45-37
48% 46-49
ATS
66% 65-33-1
73% 83-30-1
55% 45-37
48% 46-49
TTL
59% 58-40-1
67% 76-38
100% 82-0
100% 95-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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