COLORADO
AVALANCHECOL
0-0-0 | Road
4
VEGAS
GOLDEN KNIGHTSVGK
0-0-0 | Home
8
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Alexandar Georgiev
#40 | G@
GOALTENDER
Adin Hill
#33 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexandar Georgiev | None-None | 7.50 | 0.688 | -- |
| Adin Hill | None-None | 4.00 | 0.875 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
7.50
GAA
Ldr 4.00
0.688
Save %
Ldr 0.875
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
AVALANCHE
100%
GOLDEN KNIGHTS
0%
AVALANCHE
--
GOLDEN KNIGHTS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
6.1
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.6
VEGAS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.6 points (Vegas)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around VGK -0.6 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (VGK)
COL By 1 goal
14.1%
COL By 2-3 goals
12.2%
VGK By 1 goal
19.4%
VGK By 2-3 goals
25.8%
AI Model Projected Score
Colorado
2.7
COLORADO
Vegas
3.35
VEGAS
Simulated Score
Colorado
2
COLORADO
Vegas
3
VEGAS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Golden Knights
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Golden Knights
Win
50% Win Prob
B
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Golden Knights (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -0.6
D
Sim
Golden Knights (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 6.1
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 5.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
May 26, 2026
COL @ VGK
1 - 2
May 24, 2026
COL @ VGK
3 - 5
May 22, 2026
VGK @ COL
3 - 1
May 20, 2026
VGK @ COL
4 - 2
Apr 11, 2026
VGK @ COL
3 - 2
Key Model Drivers
Faceoff % (L5)
+3.5%
Vegas: 50.5%
vs
Colorado: 47.0%
Power Play % (L5)
+45.1%
Colorado: 54.7%
vs
Vegas: 9.6%
Takeaways (L5)
+38.8% more
Colorado: 10.2
vs
Vegas: 6.2
Blocked Shots (L5)
+16.6% more
Colorado: 21.4
vs
Vegas: 17.9
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
COL Score
2.7
4
VGK Score
3.4
8
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
17.9 / 21.4
18.0 / 9.0
Faceoff %
50.5 / 47.0
58.0 / 42.0
Hits
37.6 / 43.6
15.0 / 19.0
Power Play %
9.6 / 54.7
66.7 / 33.3
Shots on Goal
27.4 / 28.8
21.0 / 32.0
Takeaways
6.2 / 10.2
9.0 / 8.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
VGK
COL
VGK
COL
ML
75%
3-1
75%
3-1
50%
2-2
50%
2-2
ATS
50%
2-2
75%
3-1
75%
3-1
25%
1-3
TTL
25%
1-3
25%
1-3
50%
2-2
75%
3-1
Contextual Game News
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Makar's Hometown Heroics: Avalanche Crush Flames 7-3