Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Elvis Merzlikins
#90 | G@
GOALTENDER
Filip Gustavsson
#32 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elvis Merzlikins | None-None | 3.07 | 0.885 | -- |
| Filip Gustavsson | None-None | 2.00 | 0.939 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
3.07
GAA
Ldr 2.00
0.885
Save %
Ldr 0.939
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
BLUE JACKETS
100%
WILD
0%
BLUE JACKETS
--
WILD
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
8.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.5
MINNESOTA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.5 points (Minnesota)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around MIN -0.5 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MIN)
CBJ By 1 goal
15.2%
CBJ By 2-3 goals
14.0%
MIN By 1 goal
19.0%
MIN By 2-3 goals
23.7%
AI Model Projected Score
Columbus
3.77
COLUMBUS
Minnesota
4.23
MINNESOTA
Simulated Score
Columbus
2
COLUMBUS
Minnesota
3
MINNESOTA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Wild
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Wild
Win
50% Win Prob
B
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Wild (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -0.5
D
Sim
Wild (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 8.0
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 5.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Dec 18, 2025
MIN @ CBJ
5 - 2
Oct 11, 2025
CBJ @ MIN
7 - 4
Oct 19, 2024
MIN @ CBJ
3 - 1
Oct 10, 2024
CBJ @ MIN
2 - 3
Jan 6, 2024
MIN @ CBJ
4 - 3
Key Model Drivers
Power Play % (L5)
+31.8%
Minnesota: 41.3%
vs
Columbus: 9.5%
Blocked Shots (L5)
+19.8% more
Minnesota: 15.8
vs
Columbus: 13.2
Hits (L5)
+49.3% more
Columbus: 21.1
vs
Minnesota: 10.7
Takeaways (L5)
+30.2% more
Columbus: 8.4
vs
Minnesota: 5.9
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CBJ Score
3.8
2
MIN Score
4.2
3
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
15.8 / 13.2
18.0 / 8.0
Faceoff %
46.8 / 49.2
54.2 / 45.8
Hits
10.7 / 21.1
14.0 / 20.0
Power Play %
41.3 / 9.5
33.3 / 33.3
Shots on Goal
28.4 / 28.8
26.0 / 33.0
Takeaways
5.9 / 8.4
2.0 / 1.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MIN
CBJ
MIN
CBJ
ML
67%
2-1
50%
1-1
33%
1-2
100%
2-0
ATS
33%
1-2
50%
1-1
33%
1-2
50%
1-1
TTL
100%
3-0
50%
1-1
67%
2-1
0%
0-2