ANAHEIM
DUCKSANA
1-0-0 | Road
1
VEGAS
GOLDEN KNIGHTSVGK
2-0-0 | Home
3
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Pavel Mintyukov
#98 | Defense@
GOALTENDER
Shea Theodore
#27 | Defense| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pavel Mintyukov | None-None | -- | -- | -- |
| Shea Theodore | None-None | -- | -- | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
--
GAA
--
--
Save %
--
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
DUCKS
0%
GOLDEN KNIGHTS
100%
DUCKS
--
GOLDEN KNIGHTS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
6.3
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.6
ANAHEIM
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.6 points (Anaheim)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around ANA -1.6 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (ANA)
ANA By 1 goal
18.8%
ANA By 2-3 goals
35.1%
VGK By 1 goal
8.5%
VGK By 2-3 goals
5.4%
AI Model Projected Score
Anaheim
3.94
ANAHEIM
Vegas
2.31
VEGAS
Simulated Score
Anaheim
2
ANAHEIM
Vegas
4
VEGAS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Ducks
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Golden Knights
Win
50% Win Prob
B
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Ducks (-0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -1.6
D
Sim
Golden Knights (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -2.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 6.3
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 6.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Oct 2, 2026
ANA @ VGK
4 - 3
May 14, 2026
VGK @ ANA
5 - 1
May 10, 2026
VGK @ ANA
3 - 4
May 8, 2026
VGK @ ANA
6 - 2
May 6, 2026
ANA @ VGK
3 - 1
Key Model Drivers
Power Play % (L5)
+7.8%
Anaheim: 26.8%
vs
Vegas: 19.1%
Hits (L5)
+29.7% more
Vegas: 23.4
vs
Anaheim: 18.0
Faceoff % (L5)
+10.4%
Vegas: 51.1%
vs
Anaheim: 40.7%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
ANA Score
3.9
1
VGK Score
2.3
3
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
16.9 / 17.3
18.0 / 15.0
Faceoff %
51.1 / 40.7
53.5 / 46.5
Hits
23.4 / 18.0
15.0 / 20.0
Power Play %
19.1 / 26.8
25.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
26.2 / 27.0
32.0 / 23.0
Takeaways
6.1 / 6.3
4.0 / 5.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
VGK
ANA
VGK
ANA
ML
75%
3-1
33%
1-2
50%
2-2
67%
2-1
ATS
50%
2-2
33%
1-2
75%
3-1
33%
1-2
TTL
25%
1-3
33%
1-2
50%
2-2
0%
0-3
Contextual Game News
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