BUFFALO
SABRESBUF
1-3-0 | Road
4
COLUMBUS
BLUE JACKETSCBJ
1-2-0 | Home
6
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Justin Danforth
#15 | Right Wing@
GOALTENDER
Zach Werenski
#8 | Defense| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin Danforth | None-None | -- | -- | -- |
| Zach Werenski | None-None | -- | -- | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
--
GAA
--
--
Save %
--
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
SABRES
0%
BLUE JACKETS
100%
SABRES
--
BLUE JACKETS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
7.1
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.2
BUFFALO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.2 points (Buffalo)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around BUF -0.2 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (BUF)
BUF By 1 goal
18.4%
BUF By 2-3 goals
21.2%
CBJ By 1 goal
16.4%
CBJ By 2-3 goals
16.2%
AI Model Projected Score
Buffalo
3.65
BUFFALO
Columbus
3.42
COLUMBUS
Simulated Score
Buffalo
4
BUFFALO
Columbus
2
COLUMBUS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Sabres
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Sabres
Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Sabres (-0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -0.2
D
Sim
Sabres (-0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -2.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 7.1
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 6.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Oct 1, 2026
BUF @ CBJ
3 - 6
Apr 9, 2026
CBJ @ BUF
0 - 5
Jan 3, 2026
BUF @ CBJ
1 - 5
Oct 28, 2025
CBJ @ BUF
4 - 3
Sep 23, 2025
CBJ @ BUF
1 - 2
Key Model Drivers
Hits (L5)
+29.7% more
Buffalo: 23.4
vs
Columbus: 16.4
Blocked Shots (L5)
+11.2% more
Buffalo: 15.4
vs
Columbus: 13.7
Power Play % (L5)
+12.8%
Columbus: 15.1%
vs
Buffalo: 2.3%
Faceoff % (L5)
+4.9%
Columbus: 50.2%
vs
Buffalo: 45.3%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
BUF Score
3.7
4
CBJ Score
3.4
6
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
13.7 / 15.4
17.0 / 8.0
Faceoff %
50.2 / 45.3
49.1 / 50.9
Hits
16.4 / 23.4
16.0 / 18.0
Power Play %
15.1 / 2.3
33.3 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
31.2 / 29.5
25.0 / 24.0
Takeaways
6.8 / 6.4
7.0 / 6.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CBJ
BUF
CBJ
BUF
ML
50%
1-1
67%
2-1
100%
2-0
67%
2-1
ATS
50%
1-1
33%
1-2
50%
1-1
100%
3-0
TTL
50%
1-1
33%
1-2
0%
0-2
33%
1-2
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