CALGARY
FLAMESCGY
5-2-0 | Road
0
VEGAS
GOLDEN KNIGHTSVGK
6-2-0 | Home
5
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Zach Whitecloud
#28 | Defense@
GOALTENDER
Adin Hill
#33 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zach Whitecloud | None-None | -- | -- | -- |
| Adin Hill | None-None | 0.00 | 1.000 | 1 |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
--
GAA
0.00
--
Save %
1.000
--
SO
1
AI Model Win Probability
FLAMES
0%
GOLDEN KNIGHTS
100%
FLAMES
--
GOLDEN KNIGHTS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.8
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.2
CALGARY
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.2 points (Calgary)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around CGY -1.2 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CGY)
CGY By 1 goal
19.7%
CGY By 2-3 goals
31.4%
VGK By 1 goal
11.0%
VGK By 2-3 goals
8.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Calgary
3.47
CALGARY
Vegas
2.28
VEGAS
Simulated Score
Calgary
3
CALGARY
Vegas
4
VEGAS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Flames
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Golden Knights
Win
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Flames (-0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -1.2
D
Sim
Golden Knights (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 5.8
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 7.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Apr 2, 2026
CGY @ VGK
3 - 6
Dec 20, 2025
VGK @ CGY
3 - 6
Oct 18, 2025
CGY @ VGK
1 - 6
Oct 14, 2025
VGK @ CGY
4 - 2
Apr 15, 2025
VGK @ CGY
4 - 5
Key Model Drivers
Hits (L5)
+25.1% more
Calgary: 28.8
vs
Vegas: 21.6
Takeaways (L5)
+25.0% more
Calgary: 5.4
vs
Vegas: 4.0
Power Play % (L5)
+31.5%
Vegas: 39.4%
vs
Calgary: 7.9%
Shots on Goal (L5)
+14.0% more
Vegas: 32.5
vs
Calgary: 28.5
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CGY Score
3.5
0
VGK Score
2.3
5
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
16.4 / 16.9
23.0 / 23.0
Faceoff %
54.2 / 46.2
57.8 / 42.2
Hits
21.6 / 28.8
10.0 / 23.0
Power Play %
3940.0 / 790.0
0.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
32.5 / 28.5
38.0 / 16.0
Takeaways
4.0 / 5.4
15.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
VGK
CGY
VGK
CGY
ML
75%
3-1
33%
1-2
50%
2-2
33%
1-2
ATS
50%
2-2
33%
1-2
75%
3-1
33%
1-2
TTL
25%
1-3
67%
2-1
50%
2-2
0%
0-3
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