NEW YORK
ISLANDERSNYI
3-4-0 | Road
0
COLUMBUS
BLUE JACKETSCBJ
4-3-0 | Home
2
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Semyon Varlamov
#40 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Elvis Merzlikins
#90 | G| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Semyon Varlamov | None-None | 1.05 | 0.960 | -- |
| Elvis Merzlikins | None-None | 0.00 | 1.000 | 1 |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
1.05
GAA
Ldr 0.00
0.960
Save %
Ldr 1.000
--
SO
Ldr 1
AI Model Win Probability
ISLANDERS
0%
BLUE JACKETS
100%
ISLANDERS
--
BLUE JACKETS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
7.4
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.4
NEW YORK
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.4 points (New York)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around NYI -1.4 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NYI)
NYI By 1 goal
19.4%
NYI By 2-3 goals
33.2%
CBJ By 1 goal
9.9%
CBJ By 2-3 goals
6.8%
AI Model Projected Score
New York
4.37
NEW YORK
Columbus
2.99
COLUMBUS
Simulated Score
New York
2
NEW YORK
Columbus
4
COLUMBUS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Islanders
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Blue Jackets
Win
50% Win Prob
B
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Islanders (-0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -1.4
D
Sim
Blue Jackets (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -2.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 7.4
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 6.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 22, 2026
CBJ @ NYI
0 - 1
Feb 28, 2026
NYI @ CBJ
4 - 3
Dec 28, 2025
NYI @ CBJ
2 - 4
Nov 2, 2025
CBJ @ NYI
2 - 3
Apr 17, 2025
NYI @ CBJ
1 - 6
Key Model Drivers
Shots on Goal (L5)
+16.7% more
New York: 34.0
vs
Columbus: 28.3
Faceoff % (L5)
+13.2%
New York: 60.2%
vs
Columbus: 47.0%
Power Play % (L5)
+1.8%
New York: 14.3%
vs
Columbus: 12.5%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
NYI Score
4.4
0
CBJ Score
3.0
2
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
13.7 / 13.4
20.0 / 12.0
Faceoff %
47.0 / 60.2
40.0 / 60.0
Hits
20.9 / 20.9
18.0 / 23.0
Power Play %
1252.0 / 1428.0
0.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
28.3 / 34.0
26.0 / 26.0
Takeaways
5.8 / 5.7
3.0 / 10.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CBJ
NYI
CBJ
NYI
ML
50%
1-1
67%
2-1
100%
2-0
67%
2-1
ATS
50%
1-1
33%
1-2
50%
1-1
33%
1-2
TTL
50%
1-1
100%
2-0-1
0%
0-2
100%
2-0-1
Contextual Game News
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