VEGAS
GOLDEN KNIGHTSVGK
9-4-0 | Road
3
ANAHEIM
DUCKSANA
5-7-0 | Home
2
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Adin Hill
#33 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Lukas Dostal
#1 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adin Hill | None-None | 2.00 | 0.917 | -- |
| Lukas Dostal | None-None | 3.01 | 0.923 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
2.00 Ldr
GAA
3.01
0.917
Save %
Ldr 0.923
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
GOLDEN KNIGHTS
100%
DUCKS
0%
GOLDEN KNIGHTS
--
DUCKS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
3.8
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.6
ANAHEIM
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.6 points (Anaheim)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around ANA -0.6 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (ANA)
VGK By 1 goal
14.2%
VGK By 2-3 goals
12.3%
ANA By 1 goal
19.4%
ANA By 2-3 goals
25.7%
AI Model Projected Score
Vegas
1.6
VEGAS
Anaheim
2.24
ANAHEIM
Simulated Score
Vegas
2
VEGAS
Anaheim
4
ANAHEIM
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Ducks
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Ducks
Loss
50% Win Prob
B
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Ducks (+0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -0.6
D
Sim
Ducks (+0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -2.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 3.8
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 6.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Oct 2, 2026
ANA @ VGK
4 - 3
May 14, 2026
VGK @ ANA
5 - 1
May 10, 2026
VGK @ ANA
3 - 4
May 8, 2026
VGK @ ANA
6 - 2
May 6, 2026
ANA @ VGK
3 - 1
Key Model Drivers
Blocked Shots (L5)
+42.5% more
Anaheim: 18.9
vs
Vegas: 13.3
Takeaways (L5)
+31.4% more
Vegas: 5.8
vs
Anaheim: 4.0
Power Play % (L5)
+20.5%
Vegas: 29.7%
vs
Anaheim: 9.2%
Hits (L5)
+13.2% more
Vegas: 23.0
vs
Anaheim: 20.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
VGK Score
1.6
3
ANA Score
2.2
2
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
18.9 / 13.3
16.0 / 17.0
Faceoff %
43.7 / 46.6
41.2 / 58.8
Hits
20.0 / 23.0
20.0 / 19.0
Power Play %
9.2 / 29.7
0.0 / 33.3
Shots on Goal
30.0 / 30.9
24.0 / 39.0
Takeaways
4.0 / 5.8
1.0 / 3.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
ANA
VGK
ANA
VGK
ML
33%
1-2
75%
3-1
67%
2-1
50%
2-2
ATS
33%
1-2
50%
2-2
33%
1-2
75%
3-1
TTL
33%
1-2
25%
1-3
0%
0-3
50%
2-2
Contextual Game News
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