PITTSBURGH
PENGUINSPIT
6-9-0 | Road
2
COLUMBUS
BLUE JACKETSCBJ
5-8-0 | Home
6
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Egor Chinakhov
#59 | Right Wing@
GOALTENDER
Elvis Merzlikins
#90 | G| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Egor Chinakhov | None-None | -- | -- | -- |
| Elvis Merzlikins | None-None | 2.01 | 0.913 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
--
GAA
2.01
--
Save %
0.913
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
PENGUINS
0%
BLUE JACKETS
100%
PENGUINS
--
BLUE JACKETS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.7
PITTSBURGH
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.7 points (Pittsburgh)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around PIT -0.7 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (PIT)
PIT By 1 goal
19.5%
PIT By 2-3 goals
26.3%
CBJ By 1 goal
13.9%
CBJ By 2-3 goals
11.9%
AI Model Projected Score
Pittsburgh
2.85
PITTSBURGH
Columbus
2.16
COLUMBUS
Simulated Score
Pittsburgh
4
PITTSBURGH
Columbus
2
COLUMBUS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Penguins
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Penguins
Loss
50% Win Prob
B
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Penguins (-0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -0.7
D
Sim
Penguins (-0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -2.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 5.0
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 6.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 17, 2026
CBJ @ PIT
4 - 3
Jan 4, 2026
PIT @ CBJ
5 - 4
Nov 28, 2025
PIT @ CBJ
4 - 3
Oct 25, 2025
CBJ @ PIT
5 - 4
Sep 27, 2025
CBJ @ PIT
1 - 4
Key Model Drivers
Blocked Shots (L5)
+15.3% more
Pittsburgh: 15.8
vs
Columbus: 13.4
Takeaways (L5)
+13.5% more
Pittsburgh: 5.9
vs
Columbus: 5.1
Shots on Goal (L5)
+21.1% more
Columbus: 36.8
vs
Pittsburgh: 30.4
Power Play % (L5)
+13.5%
Columbus: 19.0%
vs
Pittsburgh: 5.5%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
PIT Score
2.9
2
CBJ Score
2.2
6
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
13.4 / 15.8
25.0 / 20.0
Faceoff %
52.4 / 48.4
52.5 / 47.5
Hits
20.1 / 19.1
26.0 / 18.0
Power Play %
19.0 / 5.5
20.0 / 25.0
Shots on Goal
36.8 / 30.4
39.0 / 23.0
Takeaways
5.1 / 5.9
3.0 / 5.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CBJ
PIT
CBJ
PIT
ML
50%
1-1
75%
3-1
100%
2-0
25%
1-3
ATS
50%
1-1
75%
3-1
50%
1-1
75%
3-1
TTL
50%
1-1
25%
1-3
0%
0-2
50%
2-2
Contextual Game News
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