Key Game
KEY GAME
Kayvon Thibodeaux
#5 | Linebacker@
KEY GAME
Michael Dickson
#4 | Punter| Player | |
|---|---|
| Kayvon Thibodeaux | None-None |
| Michael Dickson | None-None |
None-None
W-L
None-None
AI Model Win Probability
GIANTS
100%
SEAHAWKS
0%
GIANTS
--
SEAHAWKS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
39.2
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-16.3
SEATTLE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +16.3 points (Seattle)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+42+28+140-14-28-42
Distribution centered around SEA -16.3 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SEA)
NYG By 1-6 points
6.4%
NYG By 7-13 points
3.5%
SEA By 1-6 points
11.3%
SEA By 7-13 points
17.9%
AI Model Projected Score
New York
11.48
NEW YORK
Seattle
27.75
SEATTLE
Simulated Score
New York
20
NEW YORK
Seattle
24
SEATTLE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Seahawks
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Seahawks
Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Seahawks (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -16.3
D
Sim
Seahawks (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 39.2
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 44.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Oct 6, 2024
NYG @ SEA
29 - 20
Oct 2, 2023
SEA @ NYG
24 - 3
Oct 30, 2022
NYG @ SEA
13 - 27
Dec 6, 2020
NYG @ SEA
17 - 12
Oct 22, 2017
SEA @ NYG
24 - 7
Key Model Drivers
First Downs (L5)
+45.8% more
Seattle: 25.5
vs
New York: 17.5
Rushing Yards (L5)
+32.2% more
Seattle: 107.4
vs
New York: 81.2
Total Yards (L5)
+28.3% more
Seattle: 401.6
vs
New York: 313.1
Net Passing Yards (L5)
+26.9% more
Seattle: 294.2
vs
New York: 231.9
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
NYG Score
11.5
29
SEA Score
27.8
20
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
First Downs
25.5 / 17.5
17.0 / 24.0
Net Passing Yards
294.2 / 231.9
231.0 / 245.0
Rushing Yards
107.4 / 81.2
102.0 / 175.0
Third Down Efficiency
0.4 / 0.3
0.27 / 0.44
Time of Possession
0.5 / 0.5
0.38 / 0.62
Total Yards
401.6 / 313.1
333.0 / 420.0
Turnovers
1.4 / 1.3
1.0 / 1.0
Yards Per Play
6.1 / 5.0
5.7 / 5.9
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
NYG
3-1-0
(75.0%)
Margin: 0.8
ATS +/-: +3.1
SEA
3-1-0
(75.0%)
Margin: 8.0
ATS +/-: +2.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
NYG
Advantage
3-1-0
(75.0%)
Margin: 0.8
ATS +/-: +3.1
SEA
1-1-2
(50.0%)
Margin: 8.0
ATS +/-: +2.3
⚖️ Over/Under
NYG
2-2-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0%
Total +/-: -3.8
SEA
2-2-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0%
Total +/-: +2.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SEA
NYG
SEA
NYG
ML
75%
3-1
75%
3-1
50%
2-2
100%
4-0
ATS
50%
1-1-2
100%
4-0
50%
1-1-2
100%
4-0
TTL
25%
1-3
75%
3-1
75%
3-1
25%
1-3