Home / NFL Projections NFL / Packers @ Rams GB @ LAR

GREEN BAY

PACKERSGB

1-3  |  Road

24
FINAL
Sun, Oct 6 • 4:25 PM ET
SoFi Stadium
View Odds Details →

LOS ANGELES

RAMSLAR

1-3  |  Home

19
Key Game
Daniel Whelan
KEY GAME

Daniel Whelan

#19 | Punter
@
Ethan Evans
KEY GAME

Ethan Evans

#42 | Punter
Player
Daniel Whelan None-None
Ethan Evans None-None
None-None W-L None-None
AI Model Win Probability
PACKERS
0%
📊
RAMS
100%
PACKERS --
RAMS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
44.6
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-8.1
GREEN BAY
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +8.1 points (Green Bay)
PackersGB (-3.5) 0 RamsLAR (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Packers Cover

71.8%

Rams Cover

28.2%

-42-28-140+14+28+42
Distribution centered around GB -8.1 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (GB)

GB By 1-6 points

16.1%

GB By 7-13 points

19.6%

LAR By 1-6 points

12.1%

LAR By 7-13 points

8.7%

AI Model Projected Score
26.33
GREEN BAY
18.27
LOS ANGELES
Simulated Score
20
GREEN BAY
24
LOS ANGELES
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Packers Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Rams Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Packers (-0) Win
Proj Spread: -8.1
D
Sim Rams (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 44.6
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 44.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Oct 6, 2024 GB @ LAR 24 - 19
Nov 5, 2023 LAR @ GB 3 - 20
Dec 19, 2022 LAR @ GB 12 - 24
Nov 28, 2021 LAR @ GB 28 - 36
Jan 16, 2021 LAR @ GB 18 - 32
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5) +39.7% more
Green Bay: 1.8 vs Los Angeles: 1.1
Rushing Yards (L5) +35.4% more
Green Bay: 152.2 vs Los Angeles: 98.4
Total Yards (L5) +21.7% more
Green Bay: 412.2 vs Los Angeles: 322.9
Net Passing Yards (L5) +13.6% more
Green Bay: 259.9 vs Los Angeles: 224.5
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
GB Score 26.3 24
LAR Score 18.3 19
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
First Downs 20.1 / 20.6 24.0 / 19.0
Net Passing Yards 224.5 / 259.9 236.0 / 202.0
Rushing Yards 98.4 / 152.2 134.0 / 126.0
Third Down Efficiency 0.4 / 0.4 0.5 / 0.12
Time of Possession 0.5 / 0.5 0.54 / 0.46
Total Yards 322.9 / 412.2 370.0 / 328.0
Turnovers 1.1 / 1.8 2.0 / 1.0
Yards Per Play 5.5 / 6.3 4.9 / 5.7
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
GB
2-2-0 (50.0%)
Margin: -8.0 ATS +/-: -10.0
LAR
2-2-0 (50.0%)
Margin: 0.5 ATS +/-: -2.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
GB
1-3-0 (25.0%)
Margin: -8.0 ATS +/-: -10.0
LAR Advantage
2-2-0 (50.0%)
Margin: 0.5 ATS +/-: -2.5
⚖️ Over/Under
GB
2-2-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: +1.5
LAR
2-2-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: -3.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LAR
GB
LAR
GB
ML
50% 2-2
50% 2-2
25% 1-3
75% 3-1
ATS
50% 2-2
0% 0-3-1
25% 1-3
33% 1-2-1
TTL
50% 2-2
25% 1-3
50% 2-2
50% 2-2
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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