Home / NFL Projections NFL / 49ers @ Seahawks SF @ SEA

SAN FRANCISCO

49ERSSF

2-3  |  Road

36
FINAL
Thu, Oct 10 • 8:15 PM ET
Lumen Field
View Odds Details →

SEATTLE

SEAHAWKSSEA

3-2  |  Home

24
Key Game
Jacob Cowing
KEY GAME

Jacob Cowing

#4 | Wide Receiver
@
Michael Dickson
KEY GAME

Michael Dickson

#4 | Punter
Player
Jacob Cowing None-None
Michael Dickson None-None
None-None W-L None-None
AI Model Win Probability
49ERS
0%
📊
SEAHAWKS
100%
49ERS --
SEAHAWKS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
46.9
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-7.3
SAN FRANCISCO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +7.3 points (San Francisco)
49ersSF (-3.5) 0 SeahawksSEA (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

49ers Cover

69.8%

Seahawks Cover

30.2%

-42-28-140+14+28+42
Distribution centered around SF -7.3 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SF)

SF By 1-6 points

16.4%

SF By 7-13 points

19.4%

SEA By 1-6 points

12.7%

SEA By 7-13 points

9.4%

AI Model Projected Score
27.06
SAN FRANCISCO
19.8
SEATTLE
Simulated Score
20
SAN FRANCISCO
27
SEATTLE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI 49ers Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Seahawks Loss
50% Win Prob
A
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI 49ers (-0) Win
Proj Spread: -7.3
D
Sim Seahawks (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -7.0
A
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 46.9
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 47.0
A
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Jan 17, 2026 SF @ SEA 6 - 41
Jan 3, 2026 SEA @ SF 13 - 3
Sep 7, 2025 SF @ SEA 17 - 13
Nov 17, 2024 SEA @ SF 20 - 17
Oct 10, 2024 SF @ SEA 36 - 24
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5) +35.2% more
San Francisco: 2.0 vs Seattle: 1.3
Rushing Yards (L5) +26.3% more
San Francisco: 143.3 vs Seattle: 105.6
Third Down Efficiency (L5) +12.0% more
San Francisco: 0.5 vs Seattle: 0.4
Time of Possession (L5) +9.0% more
San Francisco: 0.6 vs Seattle: 0.5
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
SF Score 27.1 36
SEA Score 19.8 24
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
First Downs 22.6 / 22.2 22.0 / 21.0
Net Passing Yards 273.1 / 259.8 306.0 / 255.0
Rushing Yards 105.6 / 143.3 52.0 / 228.0
Third Down Efficiency 0.4 / 0.5 0.44 / 0.42
Time of Possession 0.5 / 0.6 0.45 / 0.55
Total Yards 378.8 / 403.0 358.0 / 483.0
Turnovers 1.3 / 2.0 3.0 / 0.0
Yards Per Play 5.9 / 6.3 4.9 / 7.9
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SF Advantage
4-0-0 (100.0%)
Margin: 14.5 ATS +/-: +9.5
SEA
3-1-0 (75.0%)
Margin: 8.0 ATS +/-: +2.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SF Advantage
3-1-0 (75.0%)
Margin: 14.5 ATS +/-: +9.5
SEA
1-1-2 (50.0%)
Margin: 8.0 ATS +/-: +2.3
⚖️ Over/Under
SF
2-2-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: -0.8
SEA
2-2-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: +2.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SEA
SF
SEA
SF
ML
75% 3-1
75% 3-1
50% 2-2
25% 1-3
ATS
50% 1-1-2
25% 1-3
50% 1-1-2
25% 1-3
TTL
25% 1-3
50% 2-2
75% 3-1
50% 2-2
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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