Home / NFL Projections NFL / Cardinals @ Packers ARI @ GB

ARIZONA

CARDINALSARI

2-3  |  Road

13
FINAL
Sun, Oct 13 • 1:00 PM ET
Lambeau Field
View Odds Details →

GREEN BAY

PACKERSGB

3-2  |  Home

34
Key Game
Chad Ryland
KEY GAME

Chad Ryland

#38 | Place kicker
@
Daniel Whelan
KEY GAME

Daniel Whelan

#19 | Punter
Player
Chad Ryland None-None
Daniel Whelan None-None
None-None W-L None-None
AI Model Win Probability
CARDINALS
100%
📊
PACKERS
0%
CARDINALS --
PACKERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
47.5
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-5.9
GREEN BAY
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +5.9 points (Green Bay)
CardinalsARI (-3.5) 0 PackersGB (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Cardinals Cover

33.6%

Packers Cover

66.4%

+42+28+140-14-28-42
Distribution centered around GB -5.9 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (GB)

ARI By 1-6 points

13.6%

ARI By 7-13 points

10.5%

GB By 1-6 points

16.7%

GB By 7-13 points

18.9%

AI Model Projected Score
20.77
ARIZONA
26.7
GREEN BAY
Simulated Score
27
ARIZONA
20
GREEN BAY
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Packers Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Cardinals Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Packers (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -5.9
D
Sim Cardinals (-0) Loss
Proj Spread: -7.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 47.5
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 47.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Aug 28, 2026 ARI @ GB 38 - 42
Oct 19, 2025 GB @ ARI 27 - 23
Oct 13, 2024 ARI @ GB 13 - 34
Oct 28, 2021 GB @ ARI 24 - 21
Dec 2, 2018 ARI @ GB 20 - 17
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5) +59.0% more
Green Bay: 1.5 vs Arizona: 0.9
Net Passing Yards (L5) +31.8% more
Green Bay: 240.6 vs Arizona: 182.5
Total Yards (L5) +11.4% more
Green Bay: 384.1 vs Arizona: 344.9
Rushing Yards (L5) +11.6% more
Arizona: 162.3 vs Green Bay: 143.5
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
ARI Score 20.8 13
GB Score 26.7 34
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
First Downs 20.1 / 19.3 27.0 / 16.0
Net Passing Yards 240.6 / 182.5 258.0 / 214.0
Rushing Yards 143.5 / 162.3 179.0 / 89.0
Third Down Efficiency 0.3 / 0.4 0.58 / 0.4
Time of Possession 0.5 / 0.5 0.61 / 0.39
Total Yards 384.1 / 344.9 437.0 / 303.0
Turnovers 1.5 / 0.9 1.0 / 3.0
Yards Per Play 6.1 / 5.9 6.2 / 5.5
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
ARI
1-3-0 (25.0%)
Margin: -7.5 ATS +/-: -2.8
GB Advantage
2-2-0 (50.0%)
Margin: -8.0 ATS +/-: -10.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
ARI Advantage
2-2-0 (50.0%)
Margin: -7.5 ATS +/-: -2.8
GB
1-3-0 (25.0%)
Margin: -8.0 ATS +/-: -10.0
⚖️ Over/Under
ARI
2-2-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: +5.8
GB
2-2-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: +1.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
GB
ARI
GB
ARI
ML
50% 2-2
75% 3-1
75% 3-1
25% 1-3
ATS
0% 0-3-1
75% 3-1
33% 1-2-1
50% 2-2
TTL
25% 1-3
50% 2-2
50% 2-2
50% 2-2
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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