Home / NFL Projections NFL / Browns @ Eagles CLE @ PHI

CLEVELAND

BROWNSCLE

1-4  |  Road

16
FINAL
Sun, Oct 13 • 1:00 PM ET
Lincoln Financial Field
View Odds Details →

PHILADELPHIA

EAGLESPHI

2-2  |  Home

20
Key Game
Corey Bojorquez
KEY GAME

Corey Bojorquez

#13 | Punter
@
Braden Mann
KEY GAME

Braden Mann

#10 | Punter
Player
Corey Bojorquez None-None
Braden Mann None-None
None-None W-L None-None
AI Model Win Probability
BROWNS
100%
📊
EAGLES
0%
BROWNS --
EAGLES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
30.6
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.2
PHILADELPHIA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.2 points (Philadelphia)
BrownsCLE (-3.5) 0 EaglesPHI (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Browns Cover

46.7%

Eagles Cover

53.3%

+42+28+140-14-28-42
Distribution centered around PHI -1.2 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (PHI)

CLE By 1-6 points

16.1%

CLE By 7-13 points

14.5%

PHI By 1-6 points

16.7%

PHI By 7-13 points

16.2%

AI Model Projected Score
14.7
CLEVELAND
15.86
PHILADELPHIA
Simulated Score
27
CLEVELAND
23
PHILADELPHIA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Eagles Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Browns Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Eagles (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -1.2
D
Sim Browns (-0) Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 30.6
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 50.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Aug 16, 2025 CLE @ PHI 22 - 13
Oct 13, 2024 CLE @ PHI 16 - 20
Nov 22, 2020 PHI @ CLE 17 - 22
Sep 11, 2016 CLE @ PHI 10 - 29
Sep 9, 2012 PHI @ CLE 17 - 16
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5) +46.1% more
Philadelphia: 1.9 vs Cleveland: 1.3
Rushing Yards (L5) +45.3% more
Philadelphia: 137.3 vs Cleveland: 94.5
Total Yards (L5) +36.1% more
Philadelphia: 333.7 vs Cleveland: 245.1
Yards Per Play (L5) +32.6% more
Philadelphia: 5.3 vs Cleveland: 4.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
CLE Score 14.7 16
PHI Score 15.9 20
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
First Downs 19.1 / 14.9 19.0 / 14.0
Net Passing Yards 196.4 / 150.6 256.0 / 144.0
Rushing Yards 137.3 / 94.5 116.0 / 100.0
Third Down Efficiency 0.4 / 0.2 0.36 / 0.25
Time of Possession 0.5 / 0.5 0.48 / 0.52
Total Yards 333.7 / 245.1 372.0 / 244.0
Turnovers 1.9 / 1.3 0.0 / 0.0
Yards Per Play 5.3 / 4.0 6.0 / 4.6
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CLE Advantage
3-1-0 (75.0%)
Margin: -3.5 ATS +/-: +2.1
PHI
2-2-0 (50.0%)
Margin: -4.5 ATS +/-: -7.8
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CLE Advantage
3-1-0 (75.0%)
Margin: -3.5 ATS +/-: +2.1
PHI
0-4-0 (0.0%)
Margin: -4.5 ATS +/-: -7.8
⚖️ Over/Under
CLE
3-1-0
O: 75.0% / U: 25.0% Total +/-: +3.6
PHI
3-1-0
O: 75.0% / U: 25.0% Total +/-: -0.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
PHI
CLE
PHI
CLE
ML
100% 4-0
25% 1-3
75% 3-1
75% 3-1
ATS
25% 1-3
50% 2-2
75% 3-1
50% 2-2
TTL
50% 2-2
75% 3-1
75% 3-1
50% 2-2
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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